Arkham Asylum

A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.

Price
$121.34
Advertised RTP
89.50%
EV $108.59 from 16 items
Observed RTP, 30d
61.85%
75 openings, odds method
Variance
34.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 24
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
83.0%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
6 openings · below min
7 days
73 openings · below min
30 days
75 openings · below min
since tracking started
75 openings · below min
-0.5%280.5%561.5%

Small sample. 75 openings and 3.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h694.39%±466.5—odds
7d7363.33%±133.7—odds
30d7561.85%±132.0—odds
All7561.85%±132.0—odds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items and odds16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 75 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
Rolex GMT-Master II Batmanother1 in 1,000$21K19.3%00.1—
Moncler Solander Batman Down Jacket US 2other1 in 333$3,2409.0%00.2—
Kith x Batman Poker Setother1 in 200$1,6507.6%10.4—
2024 Batman x Kith Batman Forever 1995 Trading Card PSA 10other1 in 118$7455.8%00.6—
Kith x Batman Symbol Rugother1 in 80$5786.7%00.9—
Kith x Batman Batarang Letter Openerother1 in 80$5606.5%10.9—
LEGO Batman Batmobile Tumbler Set 76240other1 in 40$47010.8%31.91.60×
Kith x Batman Bats Classic Logo Doormatother1 in 57$4186.7%11.30.76×
Kith x Batman Joker Goons Skatedeckother1 in 40$3107.1%11.90.53×
Bearbrick Batman Hush Ver. 100% & 400% Setother1 in 33$1905.2%12.30.44×
Kith x Batman Dark Knight Adv Vintage Tee US Lother1 in 33$1253.5%02.30.00×
Crocs Classic Clog Batman Batmobile US M 8other1 in 33$1203.3%32.31.33×
Kith x Hot Wheels Batman 1989 Batmobileother1 in 20$85.203.9%43.81.07×
DC Comics Batman Logo Ceramic Mug, 20 Ouncesother15.0%$12.001.7%1211.31.07×
DC Batman Logo Pinpin25.0%$6.991.6%1818.80.96×
Bat Symbol Key Chainother35.0%$4.001.3%3026.31.14×
Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from cases-gg:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 14:54 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Kith x Batman Poker Setother$121$1,65013.60x

Latest dropsnewest first

Bat Symbol Key Chainother$121$4.000.03x
Bat Symbol Key Chainother$121$4.000.03x
Bat Symbol Key Chainother$121$4.000.03x
Bat Symbol Key Chainother$121$4.000.03x
DC Batman Logo Pinpin$121$6.990.06x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.50%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
2 Nov, 21:39 UTC$12189.50%16
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedother 100.0%best hit $1,650 (13.60x)