Back 9
A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.
Price
$53.61
Advertised RTP
89.50%
EV $47.98 from 12 items
Observed RTP, 30d
115.99%
608 openings, odds method
Variance
127.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 200
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
97.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 608 openings and 3.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items and odds12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 608 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Car Onward 2 Passengerother | 1 in 500 | $11.4K | 47.5% | 3 | 1.2 | 2.47× |
| Full Swing Kit Golf Portable Outdoor & Indoor Launch Monitor - Tested & Trusted by Tiger Woodsother | 1 in 333 | $5,995 | 37.5% | 0 | 1.8 | 0.00× |
| Callaway Golf Men’s Strata Complete Setother | 1 in 200 | $480 | 5.0% | 0 | 3.0 | 0.00× |
| Callaway Golf 300 Pro Laser Rangefinderother | 1 in 200 | $245 | 2.6% | 1 | 3.0 | 0.33× |
| KVV 3 Wheel Golf Push Cart Ultra Lightweight Smallest Folding Size, New-Version Scorecard Holderother | 1 in 200 | $225 | 2.3% | 8 | 3.0 | 2.63× |
| Golf Rangefinder with Slope and Pin Lock Vibrationother | 1 in 100 | $71.00 | 1.5% | 4 | 6.1 | 0.66× |
| Callaway Golf Supersoft 2021 Golf Ballsother | 1 in 100 | $30.00 | 0.6% | 7 | 6.1 | 1.15× |
| 2021 TaylorMade Distance+ Golf Ballsother | 1 in 100 | $25.00 | 0.5% | 5 | 6.1 | 0.82× |
| Callaway 4-in-1 Golf Divot Repair Toolother | 1 in 50 | $18.00 | 0.8% | 26 | 12.2 | 2.14× |
| Extra Durable 4 Prongs Plastic Golf Tees -100 Packother | 1 in 33 | $10.00 | 0.6% | 16 | 18.2 | 0.88× |
| Golf Ballother | 40.0% | $1.00 | 0.8% | 240 | 243.2 | 0.99× |
| Golf Teeother | 50.0% | $0.25 | 0.3% | 298 | 304.0 | 0.98× |
Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
cases-gg:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 08:49 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.50%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $53.61 | 89.50% | 12 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedother 100.0%best hit $11.4K (212.6x)