Bankai Breakthrough

A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.

Price

$17.23

Advertised RTP

89.46%

EV $15.41 from 18 items

Observed RTP, 30d

70.54%

264 openings, odds method

Variance

7.0×

of price², per opening

Tail share

1 in 13

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

81.3%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

14 openings · below min

7 days

74.25%±39.93169 openings

30 days

70.54%±31.95264 openings

since tracking started

70.54%±31.95264 openings

-0.5%95.0%190.5%

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	14	50.89%±138.7	—	odds
7d	169	74.25%±39.9	−0.7σ	odds
30d	264	70.54%±31.9	−1.2σ	odds
All	264	70.54%±31.9	−1.2σ	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items and odds18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 264 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
Funko Pop! Animation Bleach Ichigo Kurosaki (Hollow) (Black and White) Gamestop Exclusive Figure #96other	1 in 1,000	$795	5.2%	0	0.3	—
BLEACH Manga Box Set 3other	1 in 400	$350	5.7%	1	0.7	—
BLEACH - Ichigo Kurosaki Precious G.E.M. Series Figure (Thousand-Year Blood War Ver.)other	1 in 500	$320	4.2%	0	0.5	—
BLEACH - Ichimaru Gin G.E.M. Series Figure (Re-run)other	1 in 500	$320	4.2%	0	0.5	—
BLEACH Manga Box Set 1other	1 in 400	$275	4.5%	0	0.7	—
BLEACH - Shihouin Yoruichi G.E.M. Series Figure (Re-run)other	1 in 500	$267	3.5%	0	0.5	—
BLEACH Manga Box Set 2other	1 in 400	$265	4.3%	0	0.7	—
BLEACH - Tensazangetsu Proplica Replicaother	1 in 400	$205	3.3%	1	0.7	—
BLEACH - Ichigo Soul Reaper Fleece Hoodieother	1 in 33	$65.00	12.7%	9	7.9	1.14×
BLEACH - Thousand-Year Blood War Part 2 - Blu-ray - Limited Editionother	1 in 33	$62.00	12.1%	9	7.9	1.14×
BLEACH - Group Black & Rock Throw Blanketother	1 in 33	$40.00	7.8%	6	7.9	0.76×
BLEACH - Kisuke Bucket Hatother	1 in 33	$30.00	5.8%	4	7.9	0.51×
BLEACH - Ichigo Portrait T-shirtother	1 in 20	$20.00	6.5%	19	13.2	1.44×
BLEACH - Ichigo Funko POP! (Getsuga Ver.)other	1 in 20	$15.00	4.9%	12	13.2	0.91×
Funko Pop! Animation: Bleach - Konother	1 in 13	$10.00	4.9%	13	19.8	0.66×
Funko Pop! Keychain: Bleach - Ichigo Kurosakiother	22.5%	$3.00	4.4%	64	59.4	1.08×
Ichigo Soul Reaper Badge Keychainother	22.5%	$2.25	3.3%	67	59.4	1.13×
BLEACH - Ichigo Auto Decalother	23.8%	$2.00	3.1%	59	62.8	0.94×

Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from cases-gg:api/cases/details, 12 Nov, 09:09 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

Funko Pop! Animation: Bleach - Konother$17.23$10.000.58x6h

BLEACH - Ichigo Auto Decalother$17.23$2.000.12x6h

BLEACH - Group Black & Rock Throw Blanketother$17.23$40.002.32x6h

Ichigo Soul Reaper Badge KeychainotherAoniAZK™ @bandit$17.23$2.250.13x6h

Funko Pop! Keychain: Bleach - Ichigo Kurosakiother$17.23$3.000.17x21h

BLEACH - Ichigo Auto Decalother$17.23$2.000.12x21h

BLEACH - Ichigo Portrait T-shirtother$17.23$20.001.16x21h

Funko Pop! Keychain: Bleach - Ichigo Kurosakiother$17.23$3.000.17x21h

Funko Pop! Keychain: Bleach - Ichigo KurosakiotherEriksZ$17.23$3.000.17x21h

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.46%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
2 Nov, 21:39 UTC	$17.23	89.46%	18

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedother 100.0%best hit —