Blizzard Blessings
A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.
Price
$0.99
Advertised RTP
89.25%
EV $0.88 from 6 items
Observed RTP, 30d
91.25%
7,021 openings, odds method
Variance
5.5×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 20
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
85.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items and odds6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 7,021 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo Bills Santa Funko Pop! 2024 Fanatics Exclusive Vinyl Figureother | 1 in 50 | $15.00 | 34.0% | 142 | 140.4 | 1.01× |
| Netflix $5 Giftcardother | 1 in 33 | $5.00 | 17.0% | 222 | 210.6 | 1.05× |
| Dog Leashother | 1 in 20 | $3.50 | 19.8% | 354 | 351.1 | 1.01× |
| Haikyu!! Lanyardother | 1 in 20 | $2.00 | 11.3% | 397 | 351.1 | 1.13× |
| Entreat the Angelsother | 19.0% | $0.80 | 17.2% | 1,279 | 1334.0 | 0.96× |
| Rockother | 66.0% | $0.01 | 0.7% | 4,627 | 4633.9 | 1.00× |
Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
cases-gg:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 14:54 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.25%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $0.99 | 89.25% | 6 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedother 100.0%best hit —