Bottle Service

A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.

Price

$2,652.00

Advertised RTP

89.50%

EV $2,373.53 from 18 items

Observed RTP, 30d

8.95%

6 openings, odds method

Variance

15.5×

of price², per opening

Tail share

1 in 36

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

93.3%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

7 days

6 openings · below min

30 days

6 openings · below min

since tracking started

6 openings · below min

-0.5%162.0%324.5%

Small sample. 6 openings and 0.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	0	—	—	—
7d	6	8.95%±314.8	—	odds
30d	6	8.95%±314.8	—	odds
All	6	8.95%±314.8	—	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items and odds18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 6 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
The Macallan 72-Year-Old in Lalique - The Genesis Decanter (750ml) (Fake)other	1 in 303	$135K	18.8%	0	0.0	—
The Glenfiddich Janet Sheed Roberts Reserve-1955 (Fake)other	1 in 152	$50K	13.9%	0	0.0	—
Remy Martin Louis XIII Black Pearl Cognac (750ml) (Fake)other	1 in 133	$44.9K	14.2%	0	0.0	—
Domaine de la Romanée-Conti Romanée-Conti Grand Cru 2015 (750ml) (Fake)other	1 in 100	$36K	15.2%	0	0.1	—
The Dalmore 45 Year Old Single Malt Scotch Whisky (Fake)other	1 in 100	$22K	9.3%	0	0.1	—
Armand de Brignac Ace of Spades Brut Gold Nebuchadnezzar (15L) (Fake)other	1 in 100	$18K	7.6%	0	0.1	—
Rémy Martin Louis XIII Time Collection Cognac (Fake)other	1 in 100	$9,608	4.0%	0	0.1	—
1943 Gordon & MacPhail Private Collection Glenlivet Distillery Single Malt Scotch Whisky (Fake)other	1 in 100	$5,500	2.3%	0	0.1	—
Pappy Van Winkle's Family Reserve 15-Year-Old Bourbon (750ml) (Fake)other	1 in 20	$2,400	5.1%	0	0.3	—
Château Margaux 2010 (750ml) (Fake)other	1 in 20	$1,600	3.4%	0	0.3	—
The Macallan Sherry Oak 18-Year-Old Single Malt Scotch (750ml) (Fake)other	1 in 13	$500	1.6%	1	0.4	—
Louis Roederer Cristal 2008 (Fake)other	1 in 13	$450	1.4%	1	0.4	—
Dom Pérignon Vintage Champagne (750ml) (Fake)other	1 in 13	$260	0.8%	0	0.4	—
Hennessy XO Cognac (750ml) (Fake)other	10.0%	$254	1.1%	0	0.6	—
Bollinger La Grande Année Brut 2012 (750ml) (Fake)other	10.0%	$220	0.9%	2	0.6	—
Veuve Clicquot Yellow Label Brut (375ml) (Fake)other	12.5%	$40.00	0.2%	0	0.8	—
Johnnie Walker Black Label 12-Year-Old (750ml) (Fake)other	12.5%	$38.00	0.2%	0	0.8	—
Moët & Chandon Brut Imperial Mini Champagne (187ml) (Fake)other	15.8%	$17.00	0.1%	2	0.9	—

Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from cases-gg:api/cases/details, 12 Nov, 09:09 UTC.