Brainrot

A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.

Price

$56.66

Advertised RTP

89.49%

EV $50.71 from 14 items

Observed RTP, 30d

74.82%

237 openings, odds method

Variance

38.5×

of price², per opening

Tail share

1 in 43

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

95.0%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

6 openings · below min

7 days

148 openings · below min

30 days

74.82%±78.96237 openings

since tracking started

74.82%±78.96237 openings

-0.5%252.5%505.5%

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	6	8.82%±496.2	—	odds
7d	148	57.25%±99.9	—	odds
30d	237	74.82%±79.0	−0.4σ	odds
All	237	74.82%±79.0	−0.4σ	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items and odds14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 237 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
Labubu The Monsters x Vans Oldskool Monsters Forever Vinyl Plush Dollother	1 in 1,000	$9,493	18.7%	0	0.2	—
The Monsters Labubu Best of Luck Vinyl Plush Dollother	1 in 500	$2,760	10.9%	1	0.5	—
Labubu x Pronounce-Be Fancy Now Vinyl Plush Dollother	1 in 400	$1,980	9.8%	0	0.6	—
Labubu The Monsters Catch Me If You Like Me Figureother	1 in 200	$760	7.5%	0	1.2	0.00×
The Monsters Labubu Zimomo Angel in Clouds Figureother	1 in 80	$580	14.3%	4	3.0	1.35×
Labubu The Monsters Big into Energy Series ID (Secret Version) Vinyl Plush Pendantother	1 in 36	$360	19.5%	7	6.5	1.07×
Skibidi Toilet Inflatable Costume for Kidsother	1 in 20	$56.00	5.5%	13	11.9	1.10×
Dubai Chocolate Barother	10.0%	$15.00	3.0%	26	23.7	1.10×
Garry's Mod Steam Key GLOBALother	10.0%	$14.40	2.8%	31	23.7	1.31×
Bombardino Crocodilo Italian Brainrot Plushother	10.0%	$10.00	2.0%	21	23.7	0.89×
Tralalero Tralala Italian Brainrot Plushother	10.0%	$9.00	1.8%	19	23.7	0.80×
Tung Tung Tung Sahur Italian Brainrot Plushother	10.0%	$7.80	1.5%	21	23.7	0.89×
Ballerina Cappuccina Italian Brainrot Plushother	15.0%	$5.00	1.5%	41	35.5	1.15×
Grimace Shakeother	24.9%	$2.50	1.2%	53	59.1	0.90×

Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from cases-gg:api/cases/details, 13 Nov, 02:20 UTC.