Price
$20.68
Advertised RTP
89.46%
EV $18.50 from 10 items
Observed RTP, 30d
84.35%
230 openings, odds method
Variance
7.1×
of price², per opening
Tail share
15.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
85.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items and odds10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 230 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rubie's Costume Co Super Deluxe Plush Rabbitother | 1 in 100 | $560 | 30.3% | 2 | 2.3 | 0.87× |
| Lindt Easter Basket with GOLD BUNNYother | 1 in 25 | $40.00 | 8.6% | 5 | 9.2 | 0.54× |
| JolyWell Baby Night Light for Kidother | 1 in 20 | $31.00 | 8.4% | 12 | 11.5 | 1.04× |
| Bang Energy Cotton Candy, Sugar-Free Energy Drink (12 Pack)other | 1 in 20 | $25.00 | 6.8% | 16 | 11.5 | 1.39× |
| Egg Shaped Speakersother | 10.0% | $18.00 | 9.7% | 26 | 23.0 | 1.13× |
| Dinosaur Hatching Surprise Easter Eggs for Kidsother | 10.0% | $16.00 | 8.6% | 21 | 23.0 | 0.91× |
| Bunny Moving Ear Flap Hatother | 15.0% | $10.00 | 8.1% | 32 | 34.5 | 0.93× |
| Easter Bunny Decorother | 15.0% | $10.00 | 8.1% | 33 | 34.5 | 0.96× |
| Plastic Bright Easter Egg Assortment 50 Pcsother | 15.0% | $10.00 | 8.1% | 31 | 34.5 | 0.90× |
| Colorful Easter Egg Pattern PopSocketother | 20.0% | $3.00 | 3.2% | 52 | 46.0 | 1.13× |
Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
cases-gg:api/cases/details, 12 Nov, 23:42 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.46%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $20.68 | 89.46% | 10 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedother 100.0%best hit $560 (27.08x)