Camo
A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.
Price
$183.02
Advertised RTP
89.50%
EV $163.80 from 12 items
Observed RTP, 30d
42.18%
37 openings, odds method
Variance
13.1×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 40
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
92.8%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 37 openings and 0.9 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items and odds12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 37 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAPE x Canada Goose x Concepts Expedition Jacketother | 1 in 100 | $5,040 | 30.8% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| Bearbrick x BAPE Camo Shark 1000% Set of 2 Gold/Silverother | 1 in 200 | $4,895 | 14.9% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| adidas NMD R1 Bape Olive Camo (US Men's 10.5)other | 1 in 100 | $2,180 | 13.3% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| Supreme Box Logo Hooded Sweatshirt Camo (US XL)other | 1 in 133 | $2,000 | 9.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| BAPE 1st Camo Shark Full Zip Hoodie ( L ) Greenother | 1 in 50 | $600 | 7.3% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| BAPE 1st Camo Beach Shorts (SS24) Greenother | 1 in 50 | $530 | 6.5% | 2 | 0.7 | — |
| Full Send Camo Duffle Bag Camoother | 1 in 33 | $180 | 3.3% | 2 | 1.1 | 1.80× |
| BAPE 1st Camo Cordura Multi Pouch Yellowother | 1 in 13 | $69.00 | 3.2% | 2 | 2.8 | 0.72× |
| Supreme Hanes Bones Thermal Crew Woodland Camo US Mother | 12.5% | $55.00 | 4.2% | 4 | 4.6 | 0.86× |
| AUSCAMOTEK Ghillie Suit Poncho for Huntingother | 15.0% | $36.00 | 3.3% | 8 | 5.5 | 1.44× |
| NuCamper Tactical Sling Bag Packother | 25.0% | $16.00 | 2.4% | 4 | 9.3 | 0.43× |
| Levi's All Season Comfy Leather Beanieother | 29.8% | $9.00 | 1.6% | 14 | 11.0 | 1.27× |
Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
cases-gg:api/cases/details, 12 Nov, 03:04 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.50%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $183 | 89.50% | 12 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedother 100.0%best hit $600 (3.28x)