Caseseption
A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.
Price
$44.49
Advertised RTP
89.48%
EV $39.81 from 14 items
Observed RTP, 30d
94.25%
162 openings, odds method
Variance
2.5×
of price², per opening
Tail share
10.5%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
81.5%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items and odds14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 174 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AZZA Pyramid L ATX Mid Tower Gaming Computer Casecontainer | 1 in 200 | $510 | 6.4% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| AZZA Regis 902other | 1 in 200 | $480 | 6.0% | 1 | 0.9 | — |
| JONSBO N5 NAS PC Casecontainer | 1 in 133 | $335 | 6.3% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.77× |
| Lian Li Dynamic EVO XLother | 1 in 133 | $305 | 5.7% | 2 | 1.3 | 1.53× |
| HYTE Y60 Mid-Tower ATX Computer Casecontainer | 1 in 100 | $290 | 7.3% | 2 | 1.7 | 1.15× |
| Lian Li O11 Vision ATX Mid Tower Computer Casecontainer | 1 in 67 | $170 | 6.4% | 5 | 2.6 | 1.92× |
| KEDIERS C650 Mech PC Casecontainer | 1 in 67 | $156 | 5.9% | 3 | 2.6 | 1.15× |
| in Win B1 Mesh Mini-ITX Chassisother | 1 in 100 | $115 | 2.9% | 1 | 1.7 | 0.57× |
| ASUS Prime AP201 Computer Casecontainer | 1 in 33 | $80.00 | 6.0% | 7 | 5.2 | 1.34× |
| Cooler Master N400 - Mid Tower Computer Casecontainer | 1 in 33 | $74.00 | 5.6% | 8 | 5.2 | 1.53× |
| DARKROCK EC2 Black ATX Mid Tower PC Casecontainer | 1 in 20 | $57.00 | 7.2% | 12 | 8.7 | 1.38× |
| Cooler Master MasterBox Q300L Micro-ATX Towerother | 10.0% | $40.00 | 10.0% | 16 | 17.4 | 0.92× |
| Dell Dimension 4600other | 25.0% | $20.00 | 12.6% | 34 | 43.5 | 0.78× |
| HP Pavilion A1240Nother | 46.5% | $10.00 | 11.7% | 82 | 80.9 | 1.01× |
Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
cases-gg:api/cases/details, 13 Nov, 02:20 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.48%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $44.49 | 89.48% | 14 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedother 100.0%best hit —