Price
$10,055.98
Advertised RTP
89.50%
EV $9,000.09 from 17 items
Observed RTP, 30d
—
no counted openings
Variance
5.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 21
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
76.1%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
No counted openings yetOpenings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items and odds17 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comète Spinel Ringother | 1 in 145 | $160K | 12.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Comète Couture Braceletother | 1 in 118 | $130K | 12.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Diamant Evanescent Ringother | 1 in 100 | $108K | 12.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Plume de CHANEL Broochother | 1 in 91 | $75.6K | 9.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Eternal N°5 Necklace 18Kother | 1 in 83 | $65K | 8.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Bouton de Camélia transformable necklace 18K white gold & diamondsother | 1 in 57 | $31K | 6.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| J12 Watch Caliber 12.1, 38 MMother | 1 in 40 | $18.2K | 5.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Classic 11.12 Handbagother | 1 in 21 | $13.8K | 7.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| PREMIÈRE CHARMS COUTURE Watchother | 1 in 20 | $12.5K | 6.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Coco Crush Bracelet 18K Yellow Goldother | 1 in 20 | $10.1K | 5.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| CHANEL 22 Mini Handbagother | 1 in 20 | $6,600 | 3.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| CHANEL 19 Wallet on Chainother | 1 in 15 | $4,920 | 3.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Coco Crush Ringother | 1 in 14 | $3,600 | 2.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Chanel Light Yellow Sneakersother | 11.0% | $1,740 | 2.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Zipped Card Holderother | 12.5% | $1,200 | 1.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| BLEU DE CHANEL Eau de Parfum Sprayother | 15.0% | $189 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| ÉGOÏSTE Eau de Toilette Sprayother | 19.1% | $156 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
cases-gg:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 20:59 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
No history yet
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $10.1K | 89.50% | 17 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedother 100.0%