Class 1-A

A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.

Price
$9.55
Advertised RTP
89.48%
EV $8.55 from 18 items
Observed RTP, 30d
90.92%
557 openings, odds method
Variance
6.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 25
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
92.5%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
46 openings · below min
7 days
92.01%±24.52443 openings
30 days
90.92%±21.87557 openings
since tracking started
90.92%±21.87557 openings
2.5%79.3%156.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h4679.01%±76.1—odds
7d44392.01%±24.5+0.2σodds
30d55790.92%±21.9+0.1σodds
All55790.92%±21.9+0.1σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items and odds18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 557 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from cases-gg:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 20:59 UTC.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.48%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
2 Nov, 21:39 UTC$9.5589.48%18
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedother 100.0%best hit —