Clout Bites
A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.
Price
$7.18
Advertised RTP
89.42%
EV $6.42 from 12 items
Observed RTP, 30d
97.52%
290 openings, odds method
Variance
2.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
12.5%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
87.5%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items and odds12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 290 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hot Ones Hot Sauce Challenge Setother | 1 in 200 | $140 | 10.9% | 2 | 1.4 | 1.38× |
| Feastebles Mr.Beast Variety Pack Milk Chocolate Bars, 1.24 Ounce (Pack of 24)other | 1 in 100 | $40.00 | 6.2% | 2 | 2.9 | 0.69× |
| XIX Tropical Ice Vodka by The Sidemen 70cl (Fake)other | 1 in 100 | $30.00 | 4.7% | 6 | 2.9 | 2.07× |
| PRIME HYDRATION Energy Drink Strawberry Watermelon (Pack of 12)other | 1 in 100 | $30.00 | 4.7% | 2 | 2.9 | 0.69× |
| Myna Snacks Midnight Mini Cookiesother | 1 in 100 | $27.00 | 4.2% | 3 | 2.9 | 1.03× |
| Top of the Mornin’ Ground Coffee by JackSepticEyeother | 1 in 33 | $20.00 | 9.3% | 14 | 8.7 | 1.61× |
| Joyride Sweets Candy Sour Watermelon Wedgesother | 1 in 20 | $14.00 | 10.9% | 10 | 14.5 | 0.69× |
| 2024 NEW Limited Prime X Hydration Holographic blue Sports Drinkother | 10.0% | $7.00 | 10.9% | 34 | 29.0 | 1.17× |
| Lunchly™ The Pizza Lunch Kitother | 15.0% | $4.00 | 9.3% | 32 | 43.5 | 0.74× |
| Lunchly™ Fiesta Nachos Lunch Kitother | 15.0% | $4.00 | 9.3% | 51 | 43.5 | 1.17× |
| Chamberlain Coffee Almond & Coconut Milk Vanilla Latte, 11 FZother | 20.0% | $3.50 | 10.9% | 61 | 58.0 | 1.05× |
| Feastables Milk Chocolate Barother | 27.5% | $2.00 | 8.6% | 73 | 79.8 | 0.92× |
Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
cases-gg:api/cases/details, 12 Nov, 03:04 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.42%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $7.18 | 89.42% | 12 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedother 100.0%best hit —