Coin Pusher
A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.
Price
$0.89
Advertised RTP
88.72%
EV $0.79 from 18 items
Observed RTP, 30d
88.93%
4,230 openings, odds method
Variance
8.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 27
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
86.1%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items and odds18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4,231 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $20 Dominos Gift Cardother | 1 in 133 | $20.00 | 19.0% | 36 | 31.7 | 1.13× |
| Wired Headphonesother | 1 in 111 | $12.99 | 14.8% | 37 | 38.1 | 0.97× |
| Squishmallows Pokemonother | 1 in 100 | $9.60 | 12.2% | 32 | 42.3 | 0.76× |
| Mini Skateboardother | 1 in 100 | $8.00 | 10.1% | 46 | 42.3 | 1.09× |
| Thug Life Sunglassesother | 1 in 100 | $6.50 | 8.2% | 43 | 42.3 | 1.02× |
| Pack of Playing Cardsother | 1 in 100 | $4.00 | 5.1% | 42 | 42.3 | 0.99× |
| Mini Led Flashlightother | 1 in 100 | $3.29 | 4.2% | 42 | 42.3 | 0.99× |
| Fake Moustacheother | 1 in 100 | $3.00 | 3.8% | 41 | 42.3 | 0.97× |
| Cork USB Flash Driveother | 1 in 100 | $2.99 | 3.8% | 41 | 42.3 | 0.97× |
| Stress Ballother | 1 in 100 | $2.30 | 2.9% | 55 | 42.3 | 1.30× |
| Pack of Glowsticksother | 1 in 100 | $2.00 | 2.5% | 43 | 42.3 | 1.02× |
| Skull Carabinerother | 1 in 80 | $1.75 | 2.8% | 49 | 52.9 | 0.93× |
| Fidget Cubeother | 1 in 50 | $1.55 | 3.9% | 78 | 84.6 | 0.92× |
| Bass Bottle Openerother | 1 in 40 | $0.75 | 2.4% | 112 | 105.8 | 1.06× |
| Coastal Surfer Beach Braceletother | 1 in 33 | $0.35 | 1.3% | 112 | 126.9 | 0.88× |
| Ace Keychainother | 1 in 20 | $0.20 | 1.3% | 207 | 211.6 | 0.98× |
| Temporary Sun Tattoosother | 15.6% | $0.05 | 1.0% | 626 | 660.0 | 0.95× |
| Coin Pusher Tokenother | 60.0% | $0.01 | 0.8% | 2,589 | 2538.6 | 1.02× |
Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
cases-gg:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 14:54 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.72%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $0.89 | 88.72% | 18 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedother 100.0%best hit —