Coked Up

A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.

Price

$153.86

Advertised RTP

89.49%

EV $137.70 from 14 items

Observed RTP, 30d

134.50%

48 openings, odds method

Variance

3.0×

of price², per opening

Tail share

11.8%

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

85.3%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

7 days

30 openings · below min

30 days

48 openings · below min

since tracking started

48 openings · below min

84.5%155.2%226.0%

Small sample. 48 openings and 5.6 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	0	—	—	—
7d	30	163.04%±62.3	—	odds
30d	48	134.50%±49.3	—	odds
All	48	134.50%±49.3	—	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items and odds14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 48 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
BAPE x Coca-Cola Varsity Jacket US XLother	1 in 400	$3,240	5.9%	1	0.1	—
Pop Mart Mega Space Molly Coca-Cola 1000%other	1 in 400	$2,760	5.0%	0	0.1	—
Converse Chuck Taylor All Star 70 HiKith Coca-Cola White US M 9.5other	1 in 200	$1,352	4.9%	0	0.2	—
BAPE x Coca-Cola Classic Type 2 BAPEX Watchother	1 in 200	$1,240	4.5%	0	0.2	—
Bearbrick x atmos x Coca-Cola Type-6 1000%other	1 in 100	$828	6.0%	1	0.5	—
Pop Mart Mega Space Molly Coca-Cola Classic 400%other	1 in 80	$619	5.6%	1	0.6	—
A Bathing Ape Skull Sta Coca Cola US M 8.5other	1 in 50	$426	6.2%	0	1.0	—
Kith x Coca-Cola Hoodie Multi XSother	1 in 33	$356	7.8%	3	1.4	2.08×
Casio G-Shock x Coca-Cola DW5600CC23-4other	1 in 33	$344	7.5%	5	1.4	3.47×
Converse Chuck Taylor All Star 70 Ox Kith x Coca Cola Blue US M 8.5other	1 in 33	$185	4.0%	0	1.4	0.00×
Crocs Classic Clog Coca-Cola US M 9other	10.0%	$130	9.4%	4	4.8	0.83×
Pop Mart Labubu The Monsters Coca Cola Series Mysterious Guest Vinyl Face Blind Boxother	1 in 13	$115	6.3%	3	3.6	0.83×
Crocs Classic Clog Coca Cola Polar Bearother	25.0%	$83.00	15.1%	10	12.0	0.83×
Pop Mart Labubu The Monsters Coca-Cola Series Figure Single Blind Boxother	42.8%	$38.00	11.8%	20	20.5	0.97×

Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from cases-gg:api/cases/details, 12 Nov, 09:09 UTC.