Couch Gamer

A box on Cases.gg (Consoles), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.

Price

$72.38

Advertised RTP

89.49%

EV $64.77 from 18 items

Observed RTP, 30d

69.37%

136 openings, odds method

Variance

8.7×

of price², per opening

Tail share

1 in 25

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

84.0%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

6 openings · below min

7 days

70.37%±50.70130 openings

30 days

69.37%±49.57136 openings

since tracking started

69.37%±49.57136 openings

-0.5%153.3%307.0%

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	6	70.34%±236.0	—	odds
7d	130	70.37%±50.7	−0.7σ	odds
30d	136	69.37%±49.6	−0.8σ	odds
All	136	69.37%±49.6	−0.8σ	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items and odds18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 136 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
Microsoft Xbox Series X 1TB Halo Infinite Limited Edition Console Bundle (US Plug) C8Y-00023other	1 in 100	$1,890	29.2%	1	1.4	0.74×
PlayStation®5 Consoleother	1 in 100	$730	11.3%	1	1.4	0.74×
Xbox Series S 512GBother	1 in 100	$488	7.5%	1	1.4	0.74×
Nintendo Switch (OLED model) with White Joy-Conother	1 in 100	$450	6.9%	0	1.4	0.00×
Nintendo Switch Lite - Grayother	1 in 100	$285	4.4%	0	1.4	0.00×
Gamecube System Console Indigoother	1 in 100	$264	4.1%	4	1.4	2.94×
Futon Sofa Bed, 68″Fabric Futon Couch with Adjustable Backrest - Blueother	1 in 100	$225	3.5%	1	1.4	0.74×
Nintendo Wii Console with Wii Sportsother	1 in 100	$190	2.9%	0	1.4	0.00×
Sony S100F 2.0ch Soundbar with Bass Reflex Speaker (HTS100F)other	1 in 50	$190	5.9%	3	2.7	1.10×
Nintendo Game Boy Advance SP - Onyxother	1 in 100	$180	2.8%	1	1.4	0.74×
Nintendo DS Lite Crimson / Black (refurbished)other	1 in 50	$140	4.3%	0	2.7	0.00×
Game Boy Color - Atomic Purpleother	1 in 100	$126	1.9%	0	1.4	0.00×
Joy-Con (L)/(R) - Pastel Purple/Pastel Greenother	1 in 50	$87.99	2.7%	5	2.7	1.84×
Entertainment Stand for TV Up to 55 Inch, Blackwoodother	1 in 50	$55.00	1.7%	0	2.7	0.00×
Logitech G432 Wired Gaming Headset, 7.1 Surround Soundother	1 in 50	$47.00	1.5%	7	2.7	2.57×
Turtle Beach Recon 50 Wired Gaming Headsetother	1 in 20	$28.00	2.2%	10	6.8	1.47×
KontrolFreek FPS Freek Inferno for Xbox Controllerother	1 in 20	$17.00	1.3%	7	6.8	1.03×
Micro USB Cablesother	70.0%	$5.49	5.9%	95	95.2	1.00×

Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from cases-gg:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 14:54 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Microsoft Xbox Series X 1TB Halo Infinite Limited Edition Console Bundle (US Plug) C8Y-00023other$72.38$1,89026.11x3d

PlayStation®5 Consoleother$72.38$73010.09x3d

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

Micro USB Cablesother$72.38$5.490.08x9h

Futon Sofa Bed, 68″Fabric Futon Couch with Adjustable Backrest - Blueother$72.38$2253.11x9h

Logitech G432 Wired Gaming Headset, 7.1 Surround Soundother$72.38$47.000.65x9h

Micro USB Cablesother$72.38$5.490.08x9h

KontrolFreek FPS Freek Inferno for Xbox ControllerotherEriksZ$72.38$17.000.23x9h

Micro USB Cablesother$72.38$5.490.08x3d

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.49%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
2 Nov, 21:39 UTC	$72.38	89.49%	18

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedother 100.0%best hit $1,890 (26.11x)