Crypto
A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.
Price
$840.35
Advertised RTP
89.50%
EV $752.11 from 12 items
Observed RTP, 30d
14.46%
30 openings, odds method
Variance
83.3×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 133
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
97.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 30 openings and 0.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items and odds12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 30 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Bitcoinother | 1 in 133 | $88.9K | 88.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| 1 Ethereumother | 1 in 44 | $2,358 | 7.1% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| Dell S3222HN Curved Monitor - 31.5-inch FHD (1920x1080)other | 1 in 33 | $285 | 1.1% | 1 | 0.9 | — |
| 1 SOLother | 1 in 33 | $163 | 0.7% | 2 | 0.9 | — |
| Trezor Model T - Crypto Hardware Walletother | 1 in 33 | $160 | 0.6% | 2 | 0.9 | — |
| Ledger Nano X (Onyx Black) Crypto Hardware Walletother | 1 in 33 | $130 | 0.5% | 1 | 0.9 | — |
| Ledger Nano S Plus (Gold)other | 1 in 20 | $79.00 | 0.5% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.67× |
| Cryptocurrency All-in-One For Dummiesother | 1 in 13 | $36.00 | 0.4% | 3 | 2.3 | 1.33× |
| Embroidered Round XRP Crypto Pillowother | 10.0% | $20.00 | 0.3% | 1 | 3.0 | 0.33× |
| Crypto Millionaire Loading... Ceramic Coffee Mugother | 15.0% | $8.00 | 0.2% | 1 | 4.5 | 0.22× |
| 1 USDTother | 22.5% | $1.00 | 0.0% | 8 | 6.8 | 1.19× |
| 1 Dogeother | 25.0% | $0.22 | 0.0% | 9 | 7.5 | 1.20× |
Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
cases-gg:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 08:49 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.50%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $840 | 89.50% | 12 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedother 100.0%best hit $2,358 (2.81x)