Culinary

A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.

Price

$29.41

Advertised RTP

89.48%

EV $26.32 from 18 items

Observed RTP, 30d

115.39%

140 openings, odds method

Variance

7.6×

of price², per opening

Tail share

1 in 25

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

83.0%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

16 openings · below min

7 days

92.07%±46.22136 openings

30 days

115.39%±45.56140 openings

since tracking started

115.39%±45.56140 openings

-0.5%103.0%206.5%

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	16	70.93%±134.8	—	odds
7d	136	92.07%±46.2	+0.1σ	odds
30d	140	115.39%±45.6	+1.1σ	odds
All	140	115.39%±45.6	+1.1σ	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items and odds18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 140 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
Upstreman 11.6 Cu.Ft. Double Door Refrigeratorother	1 in 200	$840	16.0%	2	0.7	—
KitchenAid Classic Series 4.5 Quart Tilt-Head Stand Mixer K45SS, Onyx Blackother	1 in 200	$396	7.5%	1	0.7	—
Panasonic Microwave Oven NN-SN686Sother	1 in 100	$264	10.0%	0	1.4	0.00×
15 Piece High Carbon Stainless Steel Knife Block Setother	1 in 100	$225	8.5%	2	1.4	1.43×
Ninja Air Fryer Pro 4-in-1 with 5 QT Capacityother	1 in 100	$220	8.4%	0	1.4	0.00×
Nostalgia Popcorn Maker Machineother	1 in 100	$189	7.2%	4	1.4	2.86×
Ninja BR201AMZ Professional Blender 2.0other	1 in 50	$162	12.3%	2	2.8	0.71×
Nostalgia Oscar Mayer Hot Dog Roller & Bun Toaster Ovenother	1 in 50	$87.00	6.6%	1	2.8	0.36×
BELLA XL Electric Ceramic Titanium Griddleother	1 in 50	$64.00	4.9%	4	2.8	1.43×
Revolving Spice Rack Set with 20 Spice Jarsother	1 in 50	$44.00	3.3%	3	2.8	1.07×
Crock-Pot Small 3 Quart Round Manual Slow Cookerother	1 in 25	$33.00	5.0%	7	5.6	1.25×
Crock-Pot Small 2 Quart Round Manual Slow Cookerother	1 in 25	$22.00	3.3%	10	5.6	1.79×
2 Tier Turntable Lazy Susan Spice Organizerother	1 in 25	$17.00	2.6%	5	5.6	0.89×
DASH Mini Waffle Maker - 4” Waffleother	1 in 20	$11.00	2.1%	7	7.0	1.00×
Food Storage Containerother	1 in 20	$5.00	0.9%	4	7.0	0.57×
Oven Mitts, 2 packother	1 in 20	$3.00	0.6%	3	7.0	0.43×
Pot Holderother	1 in 20	$1.00	0.2%	9	7.0	1.29×
Golden Spoonother	55.0%	$0.25	0.5%	76	77.0	0.99×

Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from cases-gg:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 14:54 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Upstreman 11.6 Cu.Ft. Double Door Refrigeratorother$29.41$84028.56x5d

Upstreman 11.6 Cu.Ft. Double Door Refrigeratorother$29.41$84028.56x8d

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

Golden Spoonother$29.41$0.250.01x5h

Nostalgia Oscar Mayer Hot Dog Roller & Bun Toaster Ovenother$29.41$87.002.96x5h

Nostalgia Popcorn Maker Machineother$29.41$1896.43x5h

Golden Spoonother$29.41$0.250.01x5h

Golden SpoonotherEriksZ$29.41$0.250.01x5h

Golden Spoonother$29.41$0.250.01x12h

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.48%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
2 Nov, 21:39 UTC	$29.41	89.48%	18

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedother 100.0%best hit $840 (28.56x)