Dropshipped
A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.
Price
$12.00
Advertised RTP
89.44%
EV $10.73 from 12 items
Observed RTP, 30d
92.36%
379 openings, odds method
Variance
1.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
16.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
69.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items and odds12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 379 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Levitating Moon Lampother | 1 in 100 | $99.00 | 9.2% | 6 | 3.8 | 1.58× |
| Mini Portable Full HD LED Projector YG300 - Black / Whiteother | 1 in 50 | $50.00 | 9.3% | 9 | 7.6 | 1.19× |
| Replica Airpodsother | 1 in 33 | $40.00 | 11.2% | 10 | 11.4 | 0.88× |
| Mountain Voyage Minimalist Wallet for Menother | 1 in 20 | $23.20 | 10.8% | 11 | 18.9 | 0.58× |
| Automatic Soap Dispenserother | 1 in 20 | $21.00 | 9.8% | 20 | 18.9 | 1.06× |
| Blackhead Remover Vacuumother | 1 in 13 | $16.00 | 11.2% | 27 | 28.4 | 0.95× |
| LED Finger Lights for Carother | 1 in 13 | $13.00 | 9.1% | 34 | 28.4 | 1.20× |
| Plasma Candle Lighterother | 10.0% | $7.25 | 6.8% | 45 | 37.9 | 1.19× |
| Gonggi Korean Traditional Folk Gameother | 10.0% | $7.00 | 6.5% | 33 | 37.9 | 0.87× |
| 3pcs Magnetic Rings Fidget Toyother | 11.5% | $5.00 | 5.4% | 47 | 43.6 | 1.08× |
| Mini Portable Micro USB Fanother | 12.5% | $4.00 | 4.7% | 40 | 47.4 | 0.84× |
| Flying Orb Ball Toyother | 25.0% | $2.63 | 6.1% | 97 | 94.8 | 1.02× |
Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
cases-gg:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 20:59 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.44%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $12.00 | 89.44% | 12 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedother 100.0%best hit —