Eagle Strike Case

A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.

Price

$205.14

Advertised RTP

89.50%

EV $183.60 from 9 items

Observed RTP, 30d

59.31%

103 openings, odds method

Variance

9.1×

of price², per opening

Tail share

1 in 25

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

92.0%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

7 days

88 openings · below min

30 days

103 openings · below min

since tracking started

103 openings · below min

0.5%64.3%128.0%

Small sample. 103 openings and 4.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	0	—	—	—
7d	88	64.44%±63.1	—	odds
30d	103	59.31%±58.3	—	odds
All	103	59.31%±58.3	—	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items and odds9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 103 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
1 oz American Gold Eagle Coin BU (Random Year)other	1 in 50	$3,800	41.4%	1	2.1	0.49×
NIGHTFORCE NX8-1-8x24mm F1other	1 in 50	$2,035	22.2%	2	2.1	0.97×
Trijicon 3.5x35 ACOG Battery Illuminated LED Scopeother	1 in 50	$1,355	14.8%	1	2.1	0.49×
Kith USA Basketball Dream Team Vintage Tee Black (US M)other	1 in 50	$602	6.6%	1	2.1	0.49×
Travis Scott x McDonalds All American 92' Basketballother	1 in 50	$115	1.3%	0	2.1	0.00×
Funko Pop! Marvel Avengers Endgame Iron Patriot Funko Shop Exclusive Figure #868other	20.0%	$80.00	8.7%	24	20.6	1.17×
Captain America's Shieldother	20.0%	$44.00	4.8%	16	20.6	0.78×
American Flagother	25.0%	$2.50	0.3%	31	25.8	1.20×
Kraft American Sliced Cheeseother	25.0%	$0.12	0.0%	27	25.8	1.05×

Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from cases-gg:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 08:49 UTC.