Eau de Elegance

A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.

Price
$23.52
Advertised RTP
89.47%
EV $21.04 from 18 items
Observed RTP, 30d
84.75%
693 openings, odds method
Variance
6.4×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 19
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
85.4%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
34 openings · below min
7 days
90.55%±21.16545 openings
30 days
84.75%±18.77693 openings
since tracking started
84.75%±18.77693 openings
63.0%148.5%234.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h34148.43%±84.7—odds
7d54590.55%±21.2+0.1σodds
30d69384.75%±18.8−0.5σodds
All69384.75%±18.8−0.5σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items and odds18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 693 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
Imagination Louis Vuitton 100mlother1 in 400$4755.6%01.70.00×
Sauvage Elixir Dior 100mlother1 in 250$3506.7%52.81.80×
TOM FORD Noir Extreme Eau de Parfum Fragrance 100mlother1 in 250$2885.5%22.80.72×
Armani Code Parfum 75mlother1 in 167$2005.7%24.20.48×
Jean Paul Gaultier Le Male Le Parfum 125mlother1 in 133$1956.9%45.20.77×
Terre d’Hermès Eau de Toilette 98mlother1 in 133$1906.8%65.21.15×
BLEU DE CHANEL Eau de Parfum 100mlother1 in 167$1895.4%54.21.20×
Terre d'Hermes Eau Intense Vetiver Eau de parfum 200mlother1 in 250$1803.4%32.81.08×
DIOR Homme Eau de Toilette 50mlother1 in 100$1758.3%76.91.01×
Dolce&Gabbana The One For Men Eau de Toilette 100mlother1 in 100$1607.6%66.90.87×
Chanel ALLURE HOMME SPORT EAU EXTRÊME Eau de Parfum 50mlother1 in 133$1565.6%75.21.35×
La Nuit de L'Homme Yves Saint Laurent 100mlother1 in 100$1507.1%56.90.72×
Giorgio Armani Stronger with You Intensely Eau De Parfum 100mlother1 in 100$1507.1%66.90.87×
Prada L'Homme Eau de Toilette 100mlother1 in 133$1445.1%65.21.15×
Perfume Travel Bagother1 in 20$40.009.5%3434.60.98×
4x Travel Perfume Bottlesother15.3%$3.502.6%108106.41.02×
Empty Perfume Tester Bottleother20.0%$1.001.0%137138.60.99×
Perfume Testing Stripother50.0%$0.050.1%350346.51.01×
Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from cases-gg:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 14:54 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

Perfume Testing Stripother$23.52$0.050.00x
Perfume Testing Stripother$23.52$0.050.00x
Perfume Testing Stripother$23.52$0.050.00x
4x Travel Perfume Bottlesother$23.52$3.500.15x
Empty Perfume Tester Bottleother$23.52$1.000.04x
4x Travel Perfume Bottlesother$23.52$3.500.15x
Perfume Testing Stripother$23.52$0.050.00x
Perfume Testing Stripother$23.52$0.050.00x
Empty Perfume Tester Bottleother$23.52$1.000.04x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.47%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
2 Nov, 21:39 UTC$23.5289.47%18
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedother 100.0%best hit —