Elite Stockpile

A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.

Price
$177.16
Advertised RTP
89.50%
EV $158.55 from 25 items
Observed RTP, 30d
147.85%
18 openings, odds method
Variance
5.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
10.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
72.0%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
18 openings · below min
30 days
18 openings · below min
since tracking started
18 openings · below min
44.5%148.0%251.5%

Small sample. 18 openings and 1.8 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d18147.85%±102.8—odds
30d18147.85%±102.8—odds
All18147.85%±102.8—odds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items and odds25 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 18 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
Pokémon TCG Sun & Moon Team Up Elite Trainer Boxother1 in 1,000$10K6.3%00.0—
151 Pokémon Center Elite Trainer Boxother1 in 111$1,90010.8%10.2—
Pokémon TCG Sword & Shield Crown Zenith Pokémon Center Elite Trainer Box Plusother1 in 100$9005.7%00.2—
POKEMON TCG: SCARLET AND VIOLET: PALDEAN FATES: ELITE TRAINER BOXother1 in 100$7404.7%10.2—
Pokémon TCG Sword & Shield Evolving Skies Elite Trainer Box (Flareon/Jolteon/Umbreon/Leafeon)other1 in 100$7004.4%00.2—
Evolving Skies Elite Trainer Box [LUJF]other1 in 100$6404.0%10.2—
Hidden Fates Elite Trainer Boxother1 in 100$5303.3%00.2—
Pokemon Scarlet & Violet 3 Obsidian Flames Elite Trainer Boxother1 in 50$4856.1%10.4—
Pokemon TCG: Crown Zenith Elite Trainer Boxother1 in 50$4705.9%00.4—
Pokémon TCG 25th Anniversary Celebrations - Elite Trainer Boxother1 in 50$4455.6%00.4—
Pokemon TCG: Sword & Shield Chilling Reign Elite Trainer Boxother1 in 33$2504.7%10.5—
Pokémon TCG: Scarlet & Violet Elite Trainer Box (Miraidon Purple or Koraidon Red, Random Color)other1 in 33$2254.3%00.5—
Pokémon TCG: Scarlet & Violet—Paradox Rift Elite Trainer Boxother1 in 33$2254.3%00.5—
Pokémon TCG: Scarlet & Violet—Temporal Forces Elite Trainer Boxother1 in 33$2003.8%00.5—
POKEMON TCG: SCARLET AND VIOLET SHROUDED FABLE ELITE TRAINER BOXother1 in 25$1904.8%00.7—
Pokémon TCG: Scarlet & Violet—Twilight Masquerade Elite Trainer Boxother1 in 25$1453.7%10.7—
Pokémon TCG Champions Path Elite Trainer Boxother1 in 20$83.002.6%10.9—
Pokémon TCG Scarlet & Violet 151 Elite Trainer Boxother1 in 20$67.002.1%10.9—
151 Elite Trainer Boxother1 in 17$60.002.3%31.12.78×
Surging Sparks Elite Trainer Boxother1 in 17$34.991.3%01.10.00×
Lost Origin Elite Trainer Boxother1 in 17$33.251.3%11.10.93×
Stellar Crown Elite Trainer Boxother1 in 11$32.791.9%21.61.23×
Paldean Fates Elite Trainer Boxother1 in 11$32.001.8%01.60.00×
Silver Tempest Elite Trainer Boxother11.0%$31.502.2%12.00.51×
Twilight Masquerade Elite Trainer Boxother11.0%$31.492.2%32.01.52×
Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from cases-gg:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 20:59 UTC.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.50%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
2 Nov, 21:39 UTC$17789.50%25
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedother 100.0%best hit $1,900 (10.72x)