Floral

A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.

Price

$436.27

Advertised RTP

89.50%

EV $390.46 from 18 items

Observed RTP, 30d

38.97%

6 openings, odds method

Variance

8.8×

of price², per opening

Tail share

10.0%

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

85.0%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

7 days

6 openings · below min

30 days

6 openings · below min

since tracking started

6 openings · below min

-0.5%138.0%276.5%

Small sample. 6 openings and 0.6 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	0	—	—	—
7d	6	38.97%±236.9	—	odds
30d	6	38.97%±236.9	—	odds
All	6	38.97%±236.9	—	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items and odds18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 6 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
Chanel 22 Handbag Mini 23K Shiny Grained Calfskin Coral Pinkother	1 in 400	$17.9K	11.5%	0	0.0	—
Gucci Women's Floral Embroidered Leather Jacket Blue US 36other	1 in 400	$16.3K	10.5%	0	0.0	—
Louis Vuitton Small Coolbag Coralother	1 in 200	$6,415	8.2%	0	0.0	—
Gucci Floral Patterned Pleated Skirt IT 42other	1 in 100	$1,722	4.4%	0	0.1	—
OFF-WHITE Floral Print Belted Dress IT 40other	1 in 100	$1,619	4.1%	0	0.1	—
Palace Sprinter Jacket Floral Camoother	1 in 33	$900	6.9%	0	0.2	—
Hunter PLAY Short Rain Boots LoveShackFancy Pink Floral Print (Women's) US W 8other	1 in 50	$650	3.3%	0	0.1	—
Supreme The North Face Trekking Convertible Jacket US Mother	1 in 50	$550	2.8%	0	0.1	—
Takashi Murakami Flower Plush 60CM Light Pink/Yellowother	1 in 33	$460	3.5%	0	0.2	—
Supreme The North Face Trekking S/S Shirt US Mother	1 in 50	$452	2.3%	0	0.1	—
Vans Authentic 44 DX Sandy Liang Floral US M 10other	1 in 20	$425	5.4%	0	0.3	—
adidas Gazelle Indoor Liberty London Floral Embroidery (Women's) US M 6.5other	1 in 20	$360	4.6%	0	0.3	—
Nike KD 14 Floral US M 8other	27.0%	$235	16.3%	3	1.6	1.85×
Nike Killshot 2 Floral Sail Olive Aura US M 11.5other	1 in 20	$195	2.5%	0	0.3	—
Jordan 12 Retro Floral (GS) US 5.5Yother	10.0%	$180	4.6%	0	0.6	—
Nike KD 7 EXT Floral US M 9other	1 in 33	$135	1.0%	0	0.2	—
Supreme Floral Jacquard Camp Capother	20.0%	$105	5.4%	3	1.2	2.50×
adidas Gazelle Liberty London Floral Embroidery (GS) US 7Yother	10.0%	$100	2.6%	0	0.6	—

Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from cases-gg:api/cases/details, 12 Nov, 03:04 UTC.