Fluffy
A box on Cases.gg (Pets), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.
Price
$12.38
Advertised RTP
89.45%
EV $11.07 from 18 items
Observed RTP, 30d
106.35%
409 openings, odds method
Variance
7.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 13
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
71.1%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items and odds18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 409 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pet GG coatother | 1 in 2,000 | $1,023 | 4.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| Pet Wool Blend Sweaterother | 1 in 1,000 | $506 | 4.6% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| Pet Carrierother | 1 in 200 | $115 | 5.2% | 5 | 2.0 | 2.44× |
| iCrate Dog Crate Starter Kitother | 1 in 133 | $96.00 | 6.5% | 3 | 3.1 | 0.98× |
| Dog Bark Deterrentother | 1 in 40 | $66.00 | 14.9% | 10 | 10.2 | 0.98× |
| Dog Bedother | 1 in 100 | $62.00 | 5.6% | 10 | 4.1 | 2.44× |
| Large Dog Sunglassesother | 1 in 33 | $37.39 | 10.1% | 18 | 12.3 | 1.47× |
| Dog Life Jacketother | 1 in 33 | $30.54 | 8.3% | 9 | 12.3 | 0.73× |
| Pet First Aid Kitother | 1 in 33 | $25.44 | 6.9% | 13 | 12.3 | 1.06× |
| Flopping Fish Toyother | 1 in 20 | $16.99 | 7.7% | 13 | 20.5 | 0.64× |
| Blanketother | 1 in 20 | $16.00 | 7.2% | 26 | 20.5 | 1.27× |
| Stuffed Animalother | 1 in 20 | $12.99 | 5.9% | 16 | 20.5 | 0.78× |
| Pet Shampooother | 1 in 20 | $8.00 | 3.6% | 25 | 20.5 | 1.22× |
| Water Bowlother | 1 in 17 | $6.00 | 3.3% | 20 | 24.5 | 0.81× |
| Nail Clippersother | 1 in 14 | $4.00 | 2.5% | 31 | 28.6 | 1.08× |
| Dog Leashother | 1 in 12 | $3.50 | 2.6% | 41 | 33.1 | 1.24× |
| Dog Treatother | 15.0% | $0.25 | 0.3% | 54 | 61.3 | 0.88× |
| Kibbleother | 30.0% | $0.10 | 0.3% | 114 | 122.7 | 0.93× |
Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
cases-gg:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 08:49 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.45%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $12.38 | 89.45% | 18 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedother 100.0%best hit $506 (40.87x)