Fright Night
A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.
Price
$19.79
Advertised RTP
89.48%
EV $17.71 from 12 items
Observed RTP, 30d
111.10%
280 openings, odds method
Variance
3.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
10.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
75.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items and odds12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 280 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spirit Halloween Ghostbusters Life-Size Replica Proton Packother | 1 in 100 | $305 | 17.2% | 6 | 2.8 | 2.14× |
| Stanley The Halloween Flowstate Quencher 40oz Tumbler Web Glowother | 1 in 50 | $140 | 15.8% | 6 | 5.6 | 1.07× |
| Skeleton Playing Banjo Halloween Decorationother | 1 in 50 | $90.00 | 10.2% | 5 | 5.6 | 0.89× |
| 5.4Ft Halloween Life Size Skeleton Decorationother | 1 in 20 | $56.00 | 15.8% | 14 | 14.0 | 1.00× |
| Ghost Face Mask With Shroudother | 1 in 20 | $30.00 | 8.5% | 20 | 14.0 | 1.43× |
| Ouija Board Welcome Door Matother | 10.0% | $20.00 | 11.3% | 32 | 28.0 | 1.14× |
| 2 Pack Plastic Jack O Lantern Pumpkinsother | 10.0% | $15.00 | 8.5% | 28 | 28.0 | 1.00× |
| Ghostface Hoodieother | 10.0% | $10.50 | 5.9% | 26 | 28.0 | 0.93× |
| 12Pcs Vintage Classic Horror Movie Posters,Creepy Scary Horror Movie Decorother | 10.0% | $7.50 | 4.2% | 28 | 28.0 | 1.00× |
| Halloween Skull Doorbellother | 15.0% | $2.00 | 1.7% | 33 | 42.0 | 0.79× |
| Creepy Eyeball Stress Toyother | 15.0% | $0.80 | 0.7% | 41 | 42.0 | 0.98× |
| Halloween Temporary Tattoosother | 15.0% | $0.25 | 0.2% | 41 | 42.0 | 0.98× |
Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
cases-gg:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 14:54 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.48%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $19.79 | 89.48% | 12 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedother 100.0%best hit —