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Funko Pop

A box on Cases.gg (Collectibles ), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.

Price
$46.48
Advertised RTP
89.49%
EV $41.59 from 19 items
Observed RTP, 30d
92.83%
359 openings, odds method
Variance
4.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 13
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
74.0%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
84 openings · below min
7 days
88.68%±25.25251 openings
30 days
92.83%±21.12359 openings
since tracking started
92.83%±21.12359 openings
63.0%108.0%153.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h84108.59%±43.7—odds
7d25188.68%±25.3−0.1σodds
30d35992.83%±21.1+0.3σodds
All35992.83%±21.1+0.3σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items and odds19 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 359 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
Funko Pop! Sports NBA Kobe Bryant (With Armband) Figure #11other1 in 200$6708.1%11.80.56×
Funko Pop! Marvel Avengers End Game Iron Man 18 Inch Funko Shop Exclusive Figure #02other1 in 100$60014.4%53.61.39×
Funko Pop! Star Wars Grogu Diamond Collection 2022 Star Wars Celebration Exclusive (Edition of 5000) Figure #368other1 in 200$5366.4%31.81.67×
Funko Pop! Marvel Avengers Iron Man (Mark VII) Figure #11other1 in 83$36010.4%44.30.93×
Funko Pop! Marvel Studios What If...? Zombie Iron Man 10 Inch Walmart Exclusive Figure #948other1 in 77$1805.6%54.71.07×
Funko Pop! Games Pokemon Mewtwo (Flocked) SDCC Exclusive Figure #581other1 in 67$1254.5%85.41.49×
Funko Pop! Game of Thrones House of the Dragon Caraxes 2022 Target Con Exclusive Figure #10other1 in 59$90.003.7%66.10.98×
Funko Pop! Marvel Studios Doctor Strange and The Multiverse of Madness Doctor Strange Chase Exclusive Figure #1000other1 in 45$89.004.7%67.90.76×
Funko Pop! Marvel Avengers Endgame Iron Patriot Funko Shop Exclusive Figure #868other1 in 42$80.004.6%108.61.16×
Funko Pop! Harry Potter Gryffindor Funko Shop Exclusive Figure #02other1 in 59$78.003.2%66.10.98×
Funko Pop! Marvel Studios Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness Sinister Strange Figure #1030other1 in 40$73.004.4%79.00.78×
Funko Pop! Marvel Studios Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness Captain Carter Figure #1033other1 in 25$65.006.3%1214.40.84×
Funko Pop! Marvel Studios Doctor Strange and The Multiverse of Madness Doctor Strange Figure #1000other1 in 29$65.005.5%1112.60.88×
Funko Pop! House of the Dragon Alicent Hightower 2022 Summer Convention Exclusive Figure #01other1 in 50$60.002.9%87.21.11×
Funko Pop! Animation Jujutsu Kaisen Yuji Itadori with Slaughter Demon 2022 Summer Convention Exclusive Figure #1163other1 in 25$40.003.8%1614.41.11×
Funko Pop! Animation Deluxe: Jujutsu Kaisen - Sukuna, Multicolor, 61362other1 in 20$28.553.4%1117.90.61×
Funko Pop! Animation: Jujutsu Kaisen - Gojo, Multicolor, 61357other10.0%$14.473.5%3935.91.09×
Funko Pop! Animation: Attack on Titan - Armin Arlelt with Chaseother15.0%$12.774.6%4153.90.76×
$0.01 Voucherother40.0%$0.010.0%160143.61.11×
Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from cases-gg:api/cases/details, 12 Nov, 15:14 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Funko Pop! Sports NBA Kobe Bryant (With Armband) Figure #11othertimmyjudd45$46.48$67014.41x
Funko Pop! Marvel Avengers End Game Iron Man 18 Inch Funko Shop Exclusive Figure #02other$46.48$60012.91x
Funko Pop! Marvel Avengers End Game Iron Man 18 Inch Funko Shop Exclusive Figure #02other$46.48$60012.91x
Funko Pop! Marvel Avengers End Game Iron Man 18 Inch Funko Shop Exclusive Figure #02other$46.48$60012.91x
Funko Pop! Marvel Avengers End Game Iron Man 18 Inch Funko Shop Exclusive Figure #02other$46.48$60012.91x
Funko Pop! Marvel Avengers End Game Iron Man 18 Inch Funko Shop Exclusive Figure #02other$46.48$60012.91x
Funko Pop! Star Wars Grogu Diamond Collection 2022 Star Wars Celebration Exclusive (Edition of 5000) Figure #368other$46.48$53611.53x
Funko Pop! Star Wars Grogu Diamond Collection 2022 Star Wars Celebration Exclusive (Edition of 5000) Figure #368otherSwift Ibex$46.48$53611.53x
Funko Pop! Star Wars Grogu Diamond Collection 2022 Star Wars Celebration Exclusive (Edition of 5000) Figure #368other$46.48$53611.53x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
$0.01 Voucherother$46.48$0.010.00x
Funko Pop! Animation: Attack on Titan - Armin Arlelt with Chaseother$46.48$12.770.27x
$0.01 Voucherother$46.48$0.010.00x
$0.01 Voucherother$46.48$0.010.00x
$0.01 Voucherother$46.48$0.010.00x
$0.01 VoucherotherNic21$46.48$0.010.00x
$0.01 Voucherother$46.48$0.010.00x
Funko Pop! Star Wars Grogu Diamond Collection 2022 Star Wars Celebration Exclusive (Edition of 5000) Figure #368other$46.48$53611.53x
Funko Pop! Marvel Studios Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness Sinister Strange Figure #1030other$46.48$73.001.57x
Funko Pop! Animation: Attack on Titan - Armin Arlelt with Chaseother$46.48$12.770.27x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.49%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
2 Nov, 21:39 UTC$46.4889.49%19
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedother 100.0%best hit $670 (14.41x)