Price
$8,558.27
Advertised RTP
89.50%
EV $7,659.65 from 12 items
Observed RTP, 30d
—
no counted openings
Variance
5.4×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 15
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
80.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
No counted openings yetOpenings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items and odds12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mercedes Benz G Classother | 1 in 667 | $237K | 4.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Mercedes-Benz G 500 AMG BRABUS WIDESTAR 2019other | 1 in 400 | $194K | 6.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Mercedes-Benz G 350 2016other | 1 in 200 | $90.9K | 5.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Mercedes-Benz G 500 2009other | 1 in 133 | $62.7K | 6.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Mercedes-Benz G 500 V8 2005other | 1 in 100 | $56.3K | 7.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Mercedes-Benz G 500 V8 Brabus 2002other | 1 in 50 | $43.5K | 11.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Mercedes-Benz G 290 1996other | 1 in 50 | $43.5K | 11.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Mercedes-Benz G 280 1985other | 1 in 50 | $42.5K | 11.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Mercedes-Benz G 300 1990other | 1 in 50 | $38K | 9.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Mercedes-Benz G 300 1982other | 1 in 23 | $18.9K | 10.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Mercedes-Benz G 200 1987other | 1 in 20 | $18.8K | 12.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| ANPABO Licensed Mercedes-Benz G63 Car for Kidsother | 80.0% | $275 | 2.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
cases-gg:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 20:59 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
No history yet
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $8,558 | 89.50% | 12 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedother 100.0%