Gadgets & Trinkets
A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.
Price
$5.79
Advertised RTP
89.46%
EV $5.18 from 18 items
Observed RTP, 30d
86.22%
1,822 openings, odds method
Variance
3.3×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 14
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
80.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items and odds18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,822 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GoolRC RC Helicopterother | 1 in 200 | $70.00 | 6.8% | 12 | 9.1 | 1.32× |
| Automatic Shoe Cover Machineother | 1 in 133 | $46.00 | 6.7% | 14 | 13.7 | 1.02× |
| Nostalgia Popcorn Makerother | 1 in 125 | $43.40 | 6.7% | 15 | 14.6 | 1.03× |
| Grass Sandalsother | 1 in 100 | $40.00 | 7.7% | 17 | 18.2 | 0.93× |
| Muscle Massage Gun for Athletesother | 1 in 100 | $35.00 | 6.8% | 13 | 18.2 | 0.71× |
| MUSICOZY Sleep Headphonesother | 1 in 100 | $30.00 | 5.8% | 14 | 18.2 | 0.77× |
| SWEETFULL Portable Neck Fan 360° Coolingother | 1 in 100 | $27.99 | 5.4% | 13 | 18.2 | 0.71× |
| Retractable Car Chargerother | 1 in 100 | $27.00 | 5.2% | 17 | 18.2 | 0.93× |
| Electric Pepper and Salt Grinder Setother | 1 in 100 | $25.00 | 4.8% | 18 | 18.2 | 0.99× |
| 16.4ft LED Neon Lightsother | 1 in 100 | $20.00 | 3.9% | 15 | 18.2 | 0.82× |
| Lazy Prism Glasses for Readingother | 1 in 80 | $18.40 | 4.4% | 23 | 22.8 | 1.01× |
| Ketchup Dispenser Gunother | 1 in 80 | $16.00 | 3.9% | 28 | 22.8 | 1.23× |
| Mini Archery Bow Setother | 1 in 50 | $15.00 | 5.8% | 35 | 36.4 | 0.96× |
| Archie McPhee Handerpants - Underpants for Your Handsother | 1 in 40 | $12.50 | 6.0% | 42 | 45.6 | 0.92× |
| Air Fryer Silicone Linersother | 1 in 25 | $7.99 | 6.1% | 70 | 72.0 | 0.97× |
| Car Blind Spot Mirrorsother | 1 in 13 | $3.99 | 5.8% | 142 | 136.7 | 1.04× |
| Fidget Keychain Toyother | 12.5% | $2.00 | 4.8% | 227 | 227.8 | 1.00× |
| Popsocketother | 60.0% | $0.30 | 3.5% | 1,107 | 1093.2 | 1.01× |
Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
cases-gg:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 20:59 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.46%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $5.79 | 89.46% | 18 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedother 100.0%best hit —