Gas Station!

A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.

Price

$62.84

Advertised RTP

89.49%

EV $56.24 from 18 items

Observed RTP, 30d

12.62%

267 openings, odds method

Variance

194.0×

of price², per opening

Tail share

1 in 200

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

98.5%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

42 openings · below min

7 days

233 openings · below min

30 days

267 openings · below min

since tracking started

267 openings · below min

-0.5%217.0%434.5%

Small sample. 267 openings and 1.3 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	42	12.40%±421.2	—	odds
7d	233	11.88%±178.8	—	odds
30d	267	12.62%±167.1	—	odds
All	267	12.62%±167.1	—	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items and odds18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 267 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
7-Eleven Franchise Application Grantother	1 in 1,000	$25K	44.5%	0	0.3	—
Encore 500 S Gas Station Pump Refurbishedother	1 in 250	$6,000	42.7%	0	1.1	0.00×
Full 20L Jerry Canother	1 in 100	$100	1.8%	5	2.7	1.87×
$50 Scratch Off Lottery Ticketother	1 in 40	$50.00	2.2%	5	6.7	0.75×
LIQUI MOLY Special Tec AA SAE 5W-30 5Lother	1 in 40	$42.00	1.9%	7	6.7	1.05×
Slim Jim Smoked Meat Sticks 46countother	1 in 20	$11.16	1.0%	12	13.4	0.90×
Mega Rhino Pill 82000 Supplementother	1 in 20	$10.00	0.9%	20	13.4	1.50×
ICE BREAKERS Peppermint Sugar Free Chewing Gum 100pcsother	1 in 13	$7.30	1.0%	16	20.0	0.80×
2 Pack USB C Charger Blockother	1 in 13	$6.00	0.8%	28	20.0	1.40×
3x Clipper Lightersother	1 in 13	$6.00	0.8%	20	20.0	1.00×
Marlboro REDother	1 in 13	$5.50	0.7%	17	20.0	0.85×
Black Ice Little Trees Air Fresheners (2-Pack)other	1 in 13	$4.50	0.6%	18	20.0	0.90×
HARIBO Goldbears 10 oz Resealable Bagother	1 in 13	$3.19	0.4%	17	20.0	0.85×
Doritosother	1 in 13	$2.00	0.3%	16	20.0	0.80×
5-hour ENERGY Shotother	1 in 13	$1.80	0.2%	19	20.0	0.95×
Red Bull Coconut Editionother	1 in 13	$1.50	0.2%	16	20.0	0.80×
Zyn - Wintergreen 3mgother	1 in 13	$0.50	0.1%	27	20.0	1.35×
Hot Dog Sausageother	1 in 12	$0.10	0.0%	24	22.7	1.06×

Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from cases-gg:api/cases/details, 12 Nov, 03:04 UTC.