Glow Up Kit
A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.
Price
$210.07
Advertised RTP
89.50%
EV $188.01 from 10 items
Observed RTP, 30d
115.25%
84 openings, odds method
Variance
8.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 17
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
90.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 84 openings and 5.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items and odds10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 84 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rolex Datejust 36 16014other | 1 in 200 | $7,900 | 21.0% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| Supreme Burberry Shearling Collar Down Puffer Jacket Beige (US M)other | 1 in 200 | $3,600 | 9.6% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| Nike SB Dunk Low Travis Scott (US 8)other | 1 in 100 | $1,440 | 7.7% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| Cartier Chain Necklace White Goldother | 1 in 100 | $935 | 5.0% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| Palm Angels Classic Logo T-Shirt Black/White (US S)other | 1 in 33 | $500 | 8.0% | 0 | 2.5 | 0.00× |
| Saint Laurent Square Sunglasses Havana Crystal-Grey (SL-790-002)other | 1 in 50 | $468 | 5.0% | 1 | 1.7 | 0.60× |
| adidas Y-3 Parachute Cropped Pants US Mother | 1 in 50 | $305 | 3.2% | 1 | 1.7 | 0.60× |
| Versace Eros Flame for Men 3.4 oz Eau de Parfum Sprayother | 20.0% | $145 | 15.4% | 22 | 16.8 | 1.31× |
| Supreme Denim Camp Cap (SS24) Stripeother | 30.0% | $99.00 | 15.8% | 26 | 25.2 | 1.03× |
| Nike x Drake NOCTA Pack of 3 Socksother | 40.0% | $44.00 | 9.4% | 31 | 33.6 | 0.92× |
Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
cases-gg:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 14:54 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.50%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $210 | 89.50% | 10 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedother 100.0%best hit $7,900 (37.61x)