Green Apple
A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.
Price
$14.88
Advertised RTP
89.47%
EV $13.31 from 12 items
Observed RTP, 30d
89.45%
776 openings, odds method
Variance
11.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 48
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
83.9%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items and odds12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 776 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nike Zoom Mercurial Vapor 16 Elite FG Heritage Black Solar Redother | 1 in 286 | $390 | 10.3% | 4 | 2.7 | 1.47× |
| IShowSpeed Signed Limited Edition Primeother | 1 in 200 | $360 | 13.5% | 5 | 3.9 | 1.29× |
| CR7 Golden Ball Signed by Cristiano Ronaldo Soccer Ballother | 1 in 200 | $349 | 13.1% | 3 | 3.9 | 0.77× |
| IShowSpeed Speed 2025 Topps Now WWE #15SSP Royal Rumble Super Short Print PSA 9other | 1 in 133 | $240 | 13.5% | 1 | 5.8 | 0.17× |
| Portugal National Team 2022/23 Stadium Home (Cristiano Ronaldo)other | 1 in 100 | $156 | 11.7% | 8 | 7.8 | 1.03× |
| Funko Pop! iShowSpeed Figureother | 1 in 50 | $60.00 | 9.0% | 26 | 15.5 | 1.68× |
| CRISTIANO RONALDO LEGACY EAU DE PARFUMother | 1 in 50 | $55.20 | 8.3% | 14 | 15.5 | 0.90× |
| IShowSpeed Warp Black Teeother | 1 in 33 | $30.00 | 6.8% | 27 | 23.3 | 1.16× |
| IShowSpeed Trading Card Printed Signatureother | 1 in 33 | $24.00 | 5.4% | 18 | 23.3 | 0.77× |
| Hot Chip Challengeother | 1 in 33 | $18.00 | 4.1% | 25 | 23.3 | 1.07× |
| Prime Hydration ISHOWSPEED Limited Editionother | 1 in 20 | $8.40 | 3.2% | 34 | 38.8 | 0.88× |
| Green Appleother | 78.9% | $0.20 | 1.2% | 611 | 612.3 | 1.00× |
Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
cases-gg:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 20:59 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.47%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $14.88 | 89.47% | 12 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedother 100.0%best hit —