Higround

A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.

Price
$76.89
Advertised RTP
89.49%
EV $68.81 from 18 items
Observed RTP, 30d
103.12%
134 openings, odds method
Variance
5.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 17
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
80.0%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
42 openings · below min
7 days
106.18%±39.26130 openings
30 days
103.12%±38.67134 openings
since tracking started
103.12%±38.67134 openings
64.0%136.5%209.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h42139.50%±69.1—odds
7d130106.18%±39.3+0.8σodds
30d134103.12%±38.7+0.7σodds
All134103.12%±38.7+0.7σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items and odds18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 134 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from cases-gg:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 14:54 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Latest dropsnewest first

Keycap Puller Toolother$76.89$3.000.04x
Keycap Puller Toolother$76.89$3.000.04x
Keycap Puller Toolother$76.89$3.000.04x
Keycap Puller Toolother$76.89$3.000.04x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.49%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
2 Nov, 21:39 UTC$76.8989.49%18
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedother 100.0%best hit $700 (9.10x)