hobbo-coinflip

A box on Cases.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.

Price
$1.42
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
92.80%
11.4K openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
450 openings · below min
7 days
91.71%±27.2010.5K openings
30 days
92.80%±26.5411.4K openings
since tracking started
92.80%±26.5411.4K openings
-0.5%106.8%214.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h45089.75%±123.4—sample
7d10.5K91.71%±27.2—sample
30d11.4K92.80%±26.5—sample
All11.4K92.80%±26.5—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items and oddsnone published

No catalogCases.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Modern Masters: Full Setother$1.42$600422.5x
Modern Masters: Full Setother$1.42$600422.5x
Modern Masters: Full Setother$1.42$600422.5x
Modern Masters: Full Setother$1.42$600422.5x
Modern Masters: Full Setother$1.42$600422.5x
Modern Masters: Full Setother$1.42$600422.5x
Saviors of Kamigawa Full Setother$1.42$299210.6x
Saviors of Kamigawa Full Setother$1.42$299210.6x

Latest dropsnewest first

Coin Pusher Tokenother$1.42$0.010.01x
Coin Pusher Tokenother$1.42$0.010.01x
Coin Pusher Tokenother$1.42$0.010.01x
Coin Pusher Tokenother$1.42$0.010.01x
Coin Pusher Tokenother$1.42$0.010.01x
Coin Pusher Tokenother$1.42$0.010.01x
Coin Pusher Tokenother$1.42$0.010.01x
Coin Pusher Tokenother$1.42$0.010.01x
Coin Pusher Tokenother$1.42$0.010.01x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $600 (422.5x)