Home Improvements
A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.
Price
$0.78
Advertised RTP
89.43%
EV $0.70 from 18 items
Observed RTP, 30d
72.45%
6,252 openings, odds method
Variance
78.5×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 60
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
92.9%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items and odds18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 6,252 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dyson V15 Detect Cordless Vacuum Cleanerother | 1 in 20,000 | $900 | 6.5% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| Living Room Rugother | 1 in 1,429 | $40.00 | 4.0% | 3 | 4.4 | 0.69× |
| Foldable Recycling Binother | 1 in 667 | $27.10 | 5.8% | 10 | 9.4 | 1.07× |
| Bulldog Storage Decorationother | 1 in 500 | $25.00 | 7.2% | 5 | 12.5 | 0.40× |
| Airtight Food Storage Dispenserother | 1 in 286 | $20.00 | 10.0% | 13 | 21.9 | 0.59× |
| Modern Alarm Clockother | 1 in 250 | $15.00 | 8.6% | 23 | 25.0 | 0.92× |
| Kitchen Saran Wrap Cutterother | 1 in 200 | $12.80 | 9.2% | 24 | 31.3 | 0.77× |
| Knife Sharpenerother | 1 in 200 | $7.20 | 5.2% | 34 | 31.3 | 1.09× |
| Oil Sprayerother | 1 in 143 | $6.70 | 6.7% | 50 | 43.8 | 1.14× |
| 2x Measuring Spoon With Scaleother | 1 in 133 | $6.00 | 6.5% | 33 | 46.9 | 0.70× |
| Scrub Daddyother | 1 in 133 | $3.99 | 4.3% | 36 | 46.9 | 0.77× |
| Cotton Swab Boxother | 1 in 133 | $2.80 | 3.0% | 53 | 46.9 | 1.13× |
| Artificial Bonsai Treeother | 1 in 100 | $2.00 | 2.9% | 77 | 62.5 | 1.23× |
| Wall-Mounted Kitchen Garbage Bag Organizerother | 1 in 100 | $1.10 | 1.6% | 64 | 62.5 | 1.02× |
| Leaf Shaped Soap Holderother | 1 in 13 | $0.66 | 7.1% | 481 | 468.9 | 1.03× |
| 3x Cleaning Wipesother | 12.5% | $0.40 | 7.2% | 767 | 781.5 | 0.98× |
| Cable Organizerother | 20.0% | $0.10 | 2.9% | 1,185 | 1250.4 | 0.95× |
| Ice Cube Moldsother | 52.9% | $0.02 | 1.5% | 3,394 | 3305.7 | 1.03× |
Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
cases-gg:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 14:54 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.43%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $0.78 | 89.43% | 18 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedother 100.0%best hit $40.00 (51.28x)