Honored One
A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.
Price
$201.00
Advertised RTP
89.50%
EV $179.89 from 11 items
Observed RTP, 30d
40.23%
602 openings, odds method
Variance
459.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 1,000
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
95.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 602 openings and 0.6 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items and odds11 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 602 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012 Lamborghini Aventador LP700-4other | 1 in 10,000 | $314K | 17.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| Richard Mille RM 029 Titanium Oversized Dateother | 1 in 5,000 | $182K | 20.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| Rolex Sky-Dweller 42mm 336935 Jubilee Chocolate Dialother | 1 in 5,000 | $79.8K | 8.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| Cuban Link Chain 10K White Gold (Baguettes )(171.50 Grams) (22 Inch) 24.28CTWother | 1 in 2,000 | $27K | 7.5% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| Audi TT RS 2010other | 1 in 500 | $15K | 16.7% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.83× |
| Loro Piana Extra Bag L27other | 1 in 333 | $4,278 | 7.1% | 2 | 1.8 | 1.11× |
| Gucci Screener White Green (US 10)other | 1 in 250 | $1,694 | 3.8% | 2 | 2.4 | 0.83× |
| Nike Air Max 90 Off-White Desert Ore (US 8)other | 1 in 100 | $795 | 4.4% | 8 | 6.0 | 1.33× |
| SAMSUNG Galaxy Watch 7 44mm, Greenother | 1 in 33 | $396 | 6.6% | 19 | 18.1 | 1.05× |
| KAWS x Uniqlo Longsleeve Sweatshirt Black (US M)other | 1 in 20 | $86.00 | 2.4% | 28 | 30.1 | 0.93× |
| $10 Voucherother | 90.0% | $10.00 | 5.0% | 542 | 541.8 | 1.00× |
Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
cases-gg:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 08:49 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.50%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $201 | 89.50% | 11 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedother 100.0%best hit $15K (74.75x)