Junk Drawer
A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.
Price
$0.45
Advertised RTP
89.18%
EV $0.40 from 17 items
Observed RTP, 30d
91.26%
7,636 openings, odds method
Variance
7.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 31
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
89.8%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items and odds17 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 7,636 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loose Changeother | 1 in 200 | $11.25 | 14.0% | 49 | 38.2 | 1.28× |
| Measuring Tapeother | 1 in 133 | $7.70 | 14.4% | 51 | 57.3 | 0.89× |
| USB-C Cableother | 1 in 100 | $5.00 | 12.5% | 83 | 76.4 | 1.09× |
| Roll of Tapeother | 1 in 100 | $3.80 | 9.5% | 77 | 76.4 | 1.01× |
| Lighterother | 1 in 100 | $3.00 | 7.5% | 57 | 76.4 | 0.75× |
| Scissorsother | 1 in 100 | $2.50 | 6.2% | 81 | 76.4 | 1.06× |
| Super Glueother | 1 in 100 | $2.00 | 5.0% | 72 | 76.4 | 0.94× |
| Magnetsother | 1 in 100 | $1.25 | 3.1% | 75 | 76.4 | 0.98× |
| Batteryother | 1 in 67 | $0.80 | 3.0% | 124 | 114.5 | 1.08× |
| Sticky Notesother | 1 in 67 | $0.65 | 2.4% | 135 | 114.5 | 1.18× |
| Pile of Screwsother | 1 in 50 | $0.40 | 2.0% | 145 | 152.7 | 0.95× |
| Bandaidother | 1 in 40 | $0.35 | 2.2% | 189 | 190.9 | 0.99× |
| Pencilother | 1 in 40 | $0.25 | 1.6% | 198 | 190.9 | 1.04× |
| Thumbtacksother | 10.0% | $0.20 | 5.0% | 786 | 763.6 | 1.03× |
| Paper Clipsother | 15.0% | $0.17 | 6.4% | 1,118 | 1145.4 | 0.98× |
| Rubber Bandsother | 25.0% | $0.06 | 3.7% | 1,934 | 1909.0 | 1.01× |
| Old Receiptother | 32.8% | $0.02 | 1.6% | 2,462 | 2500.8 | 0.98× |
Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
cases-gg:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 08:49 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.18%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $0.45 | 89.18% | 17 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedother 100.0%best hit —