Leafy Treasure
A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.
Price
$8.95
Advertised RTP
89.49%
EV $8.01 from 18 items
Observed RTP, 30d
88.36%
941 openings, odds method
Variance
2.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
12.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
76.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items and odds18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 941 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bulbasaur (pcgL 001B)other | 1 in 50 | $60.00 | 15.0% | 20 | 18.8 | 1.06× |
| Pokemon Bulbasaur Sleeping Plushother | 1 in 50 | $45.00 | 11.2% | 16 | 18.8 | 0.85× |
| Bulbasaur (EC1 S01)other | 1 in 50 | $35.00 | 8.7% | 14 | 18.8 | 0.74× |
| Bulbasaur (SWSH 303)other | 1 in 33 | $30.00 | 11.2% | 36 | 28.2 | 1.28× |
| Bulbasaur (MEW 166)other | 1 in 33 | $30.00 | 11.2% | 36 | 28.2 | 1.28× |
| Bulbasaur (MCDP 001)other | 1 in 33 | $27.00 | 10.1% | 20 | 28.2 | 0.71× |
| Bulbasaur (SCR 143)other | 1 in 33 | $20.00 | 7.5% | 23 | 28.2 | 0.81× |
| Bulbasaur (svG 050)other | 1 in 33 | $17.00 | 6.4% | 22 | 28.2 | 0.78× |
| Funko Pop! Games: Pokemon - Bulbasaur (Soft Color)other | 1 in 33 | $15.00 | 5.6% | 32 | 28.2 | 1.13× |
| My First Battle: Bulbasaur & Pikachuother | 1 in 20 | $6.20 | 3.9% | 40 | 47.1 | 0.85× |
| Bulbasaur (BS 44) (V2)other | 1 in 20 | $4.15 | 2.6% | 67 | 47.1 | 1.42× |
| Bulbasaur (sv2a 166)other | 1 in 20 | $3.25 | 2.0% | 46 | 47.1 | 0.98× |
| Bulbasaur (SM 198)other | 1 in 13 | $2.00 | 1.9% | 75 | 70.6 | 1.06× |
| Bulbasaur (SV-P 059)other | 10.0% | $0.95 | 1.2% | 88 | 94.1 | 0.94× |
| Bulbasaur (MFB)other | 10.0% | $0.90 | 1.1% | 96 | 94.1 | 1.02× |
| Bulbasaur (MCD19F 1)other | 10.0% | $0.20 | 0.2% | 90 | 94.1 | 0.96× |
| Bulbasaur (MEW 001)other | 10.0% | $0.02 | 0.0% | 91 | 94.1 | 0.97× |
| Bulbasaur (BS 44) (V1)other | 13.5% | $0.02 | 0.0% | 129 | 127.0 | 1.02× |
Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
cases-gg:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 14:54 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.49%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $8.95 | 89.49% | 18 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedother 100.0%best hit —