Price
$34.43
Advertised RTP
89.49%
EV $30.81 from 12 items
Observed RTP, 30d
87.32%
393 openings, odds method
Variance
7.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 25
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
80.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items and odds12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 405 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Secretlab TITAN Evo - Viego Regularother | 1 in 100 | $750 | 24.3% | 5 | 4.0 | 1.23× |
| Worlds 2024 Lux 1/6 Scale Statue by Jimei Palaceother | 1 in 100 | $600 | 19.5% | 3 | 4.0 | 0.74× |
| Worlds 2024 Work Jacketother | 1 in 50 | $130 | 8.4% | 12 | 8.1 | 1.48× |
| Worlds 2024 Premium Hoodie (Black)other | 1 in 50 | $90.00 | 5.8% | 7 | 8.1 | 0.86× |
| Worlds 2024 Premium Hoodie (Gray)other | 1 in 50 | $90.00 | 5.8% | 9 | 8.1 | 1.11× |
| Worlds 2024 Jerseyother | 1 in 50 | $78.00 | 5.1% | 11 | 8.1 | 1.36× |
| Worlds 2024 Tibbers Plushother | 1 in 20 | $42.00 | 6.8% | 15 | 20.3 | 0.74× |
| Worlds 2024 Lux Teeother | 1 in 20 | $36.00 | 5.8% | 16 | 20.3 | 0.79× |
| Worlds 2024 Scarfother | 1 in 20 | $33.00 | 5.4% | 17 | 20.3 | 0.84× |
| Worlds 2024 XL Mousepadother | 1 in 20 | $30.00 | 4.9% | 23 | 20.3 | 1.14× |
| Worlds 2024 Pinpin | 20.0% | $10.00 | 6.5% | 81 | 81.0 | 1.00× |
| Kindred Necklaceother | 50.0% | $1.00 | 1.6% | 206 | 202.5 | 1.02× |
Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
cases-gg:api/cases/details, 12 Nov, 03:04 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.49%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $34.43 | 89.49% | 12 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedother 100.0%best hit $750 (21.78x)