Legends Never Die

A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.

Price
$34.43
Advertised RTP
89.49%
EV $30.81 from 12 items
Observed RTP, 30d
87.32%
393 openings, odds method
Variance
7.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 25
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
80.0%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
58 openings · below min
7 days
88.73%±28.29378 openings
30 days
87.32%±27.74393 openings
since tracking started
87.32%±27.74393 openings
29.5%102.3%175.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h58102.16%±72.2—odds
7d37888.73%±28.3−0.1σodds
30d39387.32%±27.7−0.2σodds
All39387.32%±27.7−0.2σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items and odds12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 405 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
Secretlab TITAN Evo - Viego Regularother1 in 100$75024.3%54.01.23×
Worlds 2024 Lux 1/6 Scale Statue by Jimei Palaceother1 in 100$60019.5%34.00.74×
Worlds 2024 Work Jacketother1 in 50$1308.4%128.11.48×
Worlds 2024 Premium Hoodie (Black)other1 in 50$90.005.8%78.10.86×
Worlds 2024 Premium Hoodie (Gray)other1 in 50$90.005.8%98.11.11×
Worlds 2024 Jerseyother1 in 50$78.005.1%118.11.36×
Worlds 2024 Tibbers Plushother1 in 20$42.006.8%1520.30.74×
Worlds 2024 Lux Teeother1 in 20$36.005.8%1620.30.79×
Worlds 2024 Scarfother1 in 20$33.005.4%1720.30.84×
Worlds 2024 XL Mousepadother1 in 20$30.004.9%2320.31.14×
Worlds 2024 Pinpin20.0%$10.006.5%8181.01.00×
Kindred Necklaceother50.0%$1.001.6%206202.51.02×
Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from cases-gg:api/cases/details, 12 Nov, 03:04 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Latest dropsnewest first

Worlds 2024 Scarfother$34.43$33.000.96x
Kindred Necklaceother$34.43$1.000.03x
Worlds 2024 XL Mousepadother$34.43$30.000.87x
Kindred Necklaceother$34.43$1.000.03x
Worlds 2024 Pinpin$34.43$10.000.29x
Kindred Necklaceother$34.43$1.000.03x
Worlds 2024 Pinpin$34.43$10.000.29x
Kindred Necklaceother$34.43$1.000.03x
Worlds 2024 Pinpin$34.43$10.000.29x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.49%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
2 Nov, 21:39 UTC$34.4389.49%12
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedother 100.0%best hit $750 (21.78x)