Lens Locker

A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.

Price

$66.09

Advertised RTP

89.49%

EV $59.15 from 14 items

Observed RTP, 30d

236.98%

204 openings, odds method

Variance

31.6×

of price², per opening

Tail share

1 in 100

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

97.8%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

15 openings · below min

7 days

168 openings · below min

30 days

204 openings · below min

since tracking started

204 openings · below min

87.5%372.8%658.0%

Small sample. 204 openings and 2.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	15	372.55%±284.6	—	odds
7d	168	221.94%±85.0	—	odds
30d	204	236.98%±77.2	—	odds
All	204	236.98%±77.2	—	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items and odds14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 204 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
Sony Alpha 7R VIother	1 in 500	$5,000	16.9%	3	0.4	—
Sony Alpha 7R IV Full Frame Mirrorless Interchangeable Lens Camera w/High Resolution 61MP Sensor, up to 10FPS with continuous AF/AE trackingother	1 in 500	$3,520	11.9%	2	0.4	—
Sony Alpha 7R VI FE 16-35mm F2.8 GM II Full-frame Standard Zoom G Master lensother	1 in 500	$3,000	10.1%	0	0.4	—
Sony Alpha 7 IV Full-frame Mirrorless Interchangeable Lens Camera, Body Onlyother	1 in 500	$2,748	9.3%	0	0.4	—
Canon EF 70-200mm f/2.8L IS III USM Lens for Canon Digital SLR Cameras, White - 3044C002other	1 in 500	$2,310	7.8%	0	0.4	—
Nikon NIKKOR Z 24-70mm f/2.8 S \| Professional large aperture mid-range zoom lens for Z series mirrorless cameras \| Nikon USA Modelother	1 in 500	$2,110	7.1%	1	0.4	—
Sony SEL2470GM E-Mount Camera Lens: FE 24-70 mm F2.8 G Master Full Frame Standard Zoom Lens Blackother	1 in 500	$1,870	6.3%	1	0.4	—
Nikon NIKKOR Z 28-400mm f/4-8 VR Lensother	1 in 500	$1,380	4.7%	1	0.4	—
Sony Alpha ZV-E10 - APS-C Interchangeable Lens Mirrorless Vlog Camera - Blackother	1 in 500	$1,078	3.6%	2	0.4	—
Canon EOS Rebel T7 DSLR Camera with 18-55mm Lensother	1 in 500	$576	1.9%	0	0.4	—
Canon EF 75-300mm Zoom Lens for Canon SLR Camerasother	1 in 500	$280	0.9%	0	0.4	—
Protective Case for Canon EOS Rebel T7 DSLR Camera and Lensother	20.8%	$25.29	8.9%	48	42.4	1.13×
ZEISS Lens Care Pack - 2-8 Ounce Bottles of Lens Sprayother	27.0%	$13.49	6.2%	53	55.1	0.96×
Microfiber Cleaning Clothsother	50.0%	$5.00	4.2%	93	102.0	0.91×

Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from cases-gg:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 14:54 UTC.