Logitech

A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.

Price
$78.30
Advertised RTP
89.49%
EV $70.07 from 10 items
Observed RTP, 30d
83.39%
161 openings, odds method
Variance
2.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 11
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
86.0%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
24 openings · below min
7 days
83.84%±25.45154 openings
30 days
83.39%±24.89161 openings
since tracking started
83.39%±24.89161 openings
35.0%100.0%165.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h2499.93%±64.5—odds
7d15483.84%±25.5−0.4σodds
30d16183.39%±24.9−0.5σodds
All16183.39%±24.9−0.5σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items and odds10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 161 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from cases-gg:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 08:49 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Latest dropsnewest first

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.49%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
2 Nov, 21:39 UTC$78.3089.49%10
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedother 100.0%best hit $756 (9.66x)