Price
$78.30
Advertised RTP
89.49%
EV $70.07 from 10 items
Observed RTP, 30d
83.39%
161 openings, odds method
Variance
2.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 11
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
86.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items and odds10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 161 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logitech G PRO Mechanical Gaming Keyboard - Official League of Legendsother | 1 in 100 | $756 | 10.8% | 1 | 1.6 | 0.62× |
| Logitech Wireless Optical TrackMan Trackballother | 1 in 50 | $480 | 13.7% | 3 | 3.2 | 0.93× |
| Logitech G29 Driving Force Racing Wheel and Floor Pedalsother | 1 in 33 | $360 | 15.4% | 7 | 4.8 | 1.45× |
| Logitech G PRO X 2 Wireless Gaming Headset with 50mm Graphene Driversother | 1 in 33 | $335 | 14.3% | 3 | 4.8 | 0.62× |
| Logitech G PRO X SUPERLIGHT 2 LIGHTSPEED Wireless Gaming Mouse - Blackother | 1 in 20 | $215 | 15.3% | 7 | 8.1 | 0.87× |
| Logitech G Driving Force Shifterother | 10.0% | $75.00 | 10.7% | 13 | 16.1 | 0.81× |
| Logitech G305 LIGHTSPEED Wireless Gaming Mouseother | 10.0% | $49.99 | 7.1% | 17 | 16.1 | 1.06× |
| Logitech C270 HD Webcamother | 15.0% | $22.00 | 4.7% | 24 | 24.1 | 0.99× |
| Logitech S150 USB Speakersother | 25.0% | $12.00 | 4.3% | 44 | 40.3 | 1.09× |
| Logitech Mouse Pad - Studio Seriesother | 26.0% | $9.66 | 3.6% | 42 | 41.9 | 1.00× |
Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
cases-gg:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 08:49 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.49%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $78.30 | 89.49% | 10 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedother 100.0%best hit $756 (9.66x)