Loui V Wardrobe

A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.

Price
$509.67
Advertised RTP
89.50%
EV $456.15 from 18 items
Observed RTP, 30d
105.13%
42 openings, odds method
Variance
9.5×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 37
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
80.0%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
6 openings · below min
7 days
36 openings · below min
30 days
42 openings · below min
since tracking started
42 openings · below min
-0.5%125.3%251.0%

Small sample. 42 openings and 1.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h63.14%±247.0—odds
7d36117.10%±100.8—odds
30d42105.13%±93.3—odds
All42105.13%±93.3—odds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items and odds18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 42 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
Louis Vuitton Speedy P9 Bandoulière 50 Monogram Leather Brown Monogramother1 in 1,250$16.5K2.9%00.0—
Louis Vuitton Speedy P9 Bandoulière 50 Monogram Leather Redother1 in 1,000$15.7K3.4%00.0—
Louis Vuitton Nike Air Force 1 Low By Virgil Abloh Black (US 8)other1 in 1,000$12.3K2.7%00.0—
Louis Vuitton Nike Air Force 1 Low By Virgil Abloh Black Metallic Silver (US Men's 8)other1 in 1,000$11.3K2.5%10.0—
Louis Vuitton x Yayoi Kusama Capucines BB Silverother1 in 500$11.2K4.9%00.1—
Louis Vuitton Horizon Monogram Galaxy 55 Black Multicolorother1 in 286$9,8787.6%00.1—
Louis Vuitton x NBA New Backpack Monogramother1 in 200$8,6399.5%00.2—
Supreme x Louis Vuitton Box Logo Hooded Sweatshirt Red (US M)other1 in 200$8,4709.3%10.2—
Louis Vuitton Keepall 50B Taurillon Illusion Blue/Pinkother1 in 133$6,37810.5%00.3—
Louis Vuitton x NBA Graphic Blouson Brown (US L)other1 in 125$4,4157.7%00.3—
Supreme x Louis Vuitton Box Logo Tee White (US M)other1 in 50$1,3325.8%00.8—
Louis Vuitton Slender Wallet Monogram Surfin' Navy Blueother1 in 22$9929.8%11.90.53×
Louis Vuitton LV Ride Sunglasses Blueother1 in 25$9027.9%11.70.60×
Louis Vuitton x Supreme Keychain Brownother1 in 33$8405.5%01.30.00×
Louis Vuitton by Tyler, the Creator Multiple Wallet Chocolate Craggy Monogramother1 in 33$8005.3%01.30.00×
Louis Vuitton Sunglasses Casecontainer20.0%$60.002.6%68.40.71×
Louis Vuitton Bagother25.0%$20.001.1%1210.51.14×
Louis Vuitton Microfiber Cloth + Sunglasses Bagother35.0%$12.000.9%2014.71.36×
Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from cases-gg:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 20:59 UTC.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.50%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
2 Nov, 21:39 UTC$51089.50%18
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedother 100.0%best hit $11.3K (22.17x)