lucky-ruck-15percent-v2

A box on Cases.gg, first seen 12 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.

Price
$5.00
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
87.48%
224 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
194 openings · below min
7 days
224 openings · below min
30 days
224 openings · below min
since tracking started
224 openings · below min
47.0%82.3%117.5%

Small sample. 224 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h19475.84%±28.2—sample
7d22487.48%±29.3—sample
30d22487.48%±29.3—sample
All22487.48%±29.3—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items and oddsnone published

No catalogCases.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

Car Stickerother$5.00$0.010.00x
Car Stickerother$5.00$0.010.00x
Car Stickerother$5.00$0.010.00x
Car Stickerother$5.00$0.010.00x
Car Stickerother$5.00$0.010.00x
Car Stickerother$5.00$0.010.00x
Car Stickerother$5.00$0.010.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit —