Master Chef
A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.
Price
$104.31
Advertised RTP
89.49%
EV $93.35 from 10 items
Observed RTP, 30d
48.15%
48 openings, odds method
Variance
3.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
10.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
85.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 48 openings and 4.8 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items and odds10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 48 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Château Margaux 2010 (750ml) (Fake)other | 1 in 100 | $1,600 | 17.1% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| Saint Laurent Cassandre Card Holder Wineother | 1 in 50 | $690 | 14.8% | 0 | 1.0 | — |
| The Macallan Sherry Oak 18-Year-Old Single Malt Scotch (750ml) (Fake)other | 1 in 50 | $500 | 10.7% | 0 | 1.0 | — |
| Grand Attelage Mocha Spoonother | 1 in 20 | $366 | 19.6% | 2 | 2.4 | 0.83× |
| 15 Piece High Carbon Stainless Steel Knife Block Setother | 1 in 20 | $225 | 12.1% | 3 | 2.4 | 1.25× |
| Chefman 4.5 Liter Deep Fryer w/Basket Strainer, XL Jumbo Sizeother | 15.0% | $90.00 | 14.5% | 6 | 7.2 | 0.83× |
| Master Chef Tahm Kench Teeother | 15.0% | $30.00 | 4.8% | 4 | 7.2 | 0.56× |
| KidKraft 27-Piece Pastel Cookware Setother | 15.0% | $20.00 | 3.2% | 8 | 7.2 | 1.11× |
| Portable Utensils Set with Casecontainer | 20.0% | $11.00 | 2.4% | 12 | 9.6 | 1.25× |
| Taco Apronother | 20.0% | $4.00 | 0.9% | 13 | 9.6 | 1.35× |
Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
cases-gg:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 20:59 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.49%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $104 | 89.49% | 10 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedother 100.0%best hit —