Price
$141.50
Advertised RTP
89.50%
EV $126.64 from 18 items
Observed RTP, 30d
110.68%
103 openings, odds method
Variance
5.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 20
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
86.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items and odds18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 103 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Embody Gaming Chairother | 1 in 500 | $2,195 | 3.5% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| Aeron Chairother | 1 in 500 | $1,986 | 3.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| Haworth x Xbox: Fern Gaming Chairother | 1 in 333 | $1,759 | 4.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| Haworth x Halo: Fern Gaming Chairother | 1 in 333 | $1,649 | 3.9% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| Fern Office Chairother | 1 in 200 | $1,374 | 5.4% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| Vantum Gaming Chairother | 1 in 100 | $1,300 | 10.3% | 2 | 1.0 | 1.94× |
| Zody Office Chairother | 1 in 200 | $1,254 | 5.0% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| Sayl Gaming Chairother | 1 in 200 | $1,122 | 4.4% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| M9 Gaming Chairother | 1 in 200 | $1,099 | 4.3% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| Very Executive Chairother | 1 in 100 | $1,012 | 8.0% | 2 | 1.0 | 1.94× |
| M7 Gaming Chairother | 1 in 100 | $855 | 6.8% | 1 | 1.0 | 0.97× |
| Secretlab TITAN Evo - Cookies and Cremeother | 1 in 67 | $792 | 9.4% | 3 | 1.5 | 1.94× |
| Secretlab TITAN Evoother | 1 in 67 | $768 | 9.1% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.65× |
| M4 Gaming Chairother | 1 in 50 | $688 | 10.9% | 3 | 2.1 | 1.46× |
| M5 Gaming Chairother | 1 in 100 | $666 | 5.3% | 1 | 1.0 | 0.97× |
| RESPAWN 110 Gaming Chairother | 1 in 50 | $200 | 3.2% | 3 | 2.1 | 1.46× |
| Furmax Office Chairother | 1 in 25 | $67.00 | 2.1% | 4 | 4.1 | 0.97× |
| Chair Wheelother | 82.0% | $2.00 | 1.3% | 80 | 84.5 | 0.95× |
Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
cases-gg:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 08:49 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.50%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $142 | 89.50% | 18 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedother 100.0%best hit $1,374 (9.71x)