Meow

A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.

Price

$16.46

Advertised RTP

89.46%

EV $14.73 from 18 items

Observed RTP, 30d

92.48%

304 openings, odds method

Variance

4.5×

of price², per opening

Tail share

10.0%

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

70.0%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

17 openings · below min

7 days

94.09%±24.88279 openings

30 days

92.48%±23.84304 openings

since tracking started

92.48%±23.84304 openings

-0.5%63.5%127.5%

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	17	25.84%±100.8	—	odds
7d	279	94.09%±24.9	+0.4σ	odds
30d	304	92.48%±23.8	+0.2σ	odds
All	304	92.48%±23.8	+0.2σ	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items and odds18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 304 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
CATLINK Self Cleaning Automatic Litter Boxother	1 in 400	$528	9.0%	2	0.8	—
Large Cat Exercise Wheel 40 inchother	1 in 200	$192	6.5%	0	1.5	0.00×
Outdoor Cat Houseother	1 in 200	$140	4.8%	3	1.5	1.97×
56.3-Inch Cat Condo with Scratching Postsother	1 in 133	$98.00	5.0%	1	2.3	0.44×
Flea & Tick Treatment & Prevention Collarother	1 in 50	$78.00	10.6%	6	6.1	0.99×
Cat Carrier Backpackother	1 in 100	$77.00	5.2%	3	3.0	0.99×
IAMS PROACTIVE HEALTH Dry Cat Food, 22 lb. Bagother	1 in 40	$42.20	7.2%	3	7.6	0.39×
Amazon Basics Cat Scratching Post, Mediumother	1 in 40	$33.00	5.6%	8	7.6	1.05×
PETKIT Raised Cat Food Bowlother	1 in 20	$28.60	9.7%	11	15.2	0.72×
3-Tier Cat Track Toyother	1 in 20	$27.50	9.3%	18	15.2	1.18×
Cat Bed, Grey, 20 inchesother	1 in 20	$22.00	7.5%	20	15.2	1.32×
Cat Costume (Green Frog)other	1 in 20	$17.60	6.0%	7	15.2	0.46×
Play Wand Cat Toyother	1 in 20	$11.00	3.7%	14	15.2	0.92×
Cat LED Pointer Penother	1 in 20	$8.80	3.0%	13	15.2	0.86×
Hartz Mini Mice Cat Toy (5 Pack)other	1 in 20	$5.00	1.7%	13	15.2	0.86×
Temptations Cat Treats, 16 oz. Tubother	1 in 20	$3.00	1.0%	17	15.2	1.12×
Wet Cat Foodother	25.0%	$2.00	3.4%	83	76.0	1.09×
Catnipother	25.0%	$0.50	0.8%	82	76.0	1.08×

Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from cases-gg:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 20:59 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

CATLINK Self Cleaning Automatic Litter Boxother$16.46$52832.08x2d

CATLINK Self Cleaning Automatic Litter Boxother$16.46$52832.08x5d

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

CatnipotherSti***mes$16.46$0.500.03x2h

Catnipother$16.46$0.500.03x8h

Cat Bed, Grey, 20 inchesother$16.46$22.001.34x8h

Catnipother$16.46$0.500.03x8h

Wet Cat FoodotherNic21$16.46$2.000.12x8h

Hartz Mini Mice Cat Toy (5 Pack)other$16.46$5.000.30x15h

Catnipother$16.46$0.500.03x15h

Hartz Mini Mice Cat Toy (5 Pack)other$16.46$5.000.30x15h

Cat LED Pointer Penother$16.46$8.800.53x15h

Wet Cat Foodother$16.46$2.000.12x15h

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.46%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
2 Nov, 21:39 UTC	$16.46	89.46%	18

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedother 100.0%best hit $528 (32.08x)