Morning Routine
A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.
Price
$186.11
Advertised RTP
89.50%
EV $166.56 from 14 items
Observed RTP, 30d
132.88%
109 openings, odds method
Variance
24.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 57
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
94.5%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 109 openings and 1.9 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items and odds14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 109 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROLEX DATEJUST 36MM 18K YELLOW GOLD & STEEL (16233) - 1.00CTW DIAMOND BEZELother | 1 in 400 | $11.8K | 17.7% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| Van Cleef & Arpels Vintage Alhambra 5 Motif Bracelet Onyx 18K Yellow Goldother | 1 in 200 | $7,500 | 22.5% | 2 | 0.5 | — |
| 2.5MM MIAMI CUBAN 14K SOLID GOLD CHAINother | 1 in 100 | $4,000 | 24.0% | 2 | 1.1 | 1.83× |
| T1 Ring in Yellow Goldother | 1 in 133 | $3,600 | 16.2% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| Apple AirPods 4other | 1 in 33 | $240 | 4.3% | 4 | 3.3 | 1.22× |
| Conditioning Chest Packother | 1 in 33 | $160 | 2.9% | 3 | 3.3 | 0.92× |
| Montblanc Sketch Bookother | 1 in 33 | $130 | 2.3% | 6 | 3.3 | 1.83× |
| Brooks Hyperion Tempo Road Running Shoesother | 1 in 20 | $90.00 | 2.7% | 5 | 5.5 | 0.92× |
| SAXX Underwear Co. Men's Soft Boxer Brief Pack of 3other | 1 in 12 | $65.00 | 3.3% | 9 | 9.3 | 0.97× |
| Mouth Hostage Tapeother | 10.0% | $25.00 | 1.5% | 12 | 10.9 | 1.10× |
| Nose Hostage Tapeother | 10.0% | $20.00 | 1.2% | 8 | 10.9 | 0.73× |
| Compression Calf Sleevesother | 10.0% | $16.00 | 1.0% | 12 | 10.9 | 1.10× |
| Saratoga Natural Spring Waterother | 20.0% | $1.50 | 0.2% | 20 | 21.8 | 0.92× |
| Bananasother | 25.0% | $0.70 | 0.1% | 26 | 27.3 | 0.95× |
Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
cases-gg:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 14:54 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.50%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $186 | 89.50% | 14 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedother 100.0%best hit $7,500 (40.30x)