Mystic Mana
A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.
Price
$10.04
Advertised RTP
89.43%
EV $8.98 from 18 items
Observed RTP, 30d
76.35%
1,015 openings, odds method
Variance
20.3×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 50
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
90.5%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items and odds18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,015 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zendikar Rising Collector Booster Boxother | 1 in 100 | $400 | 44.5% | 10 | 10.2 | 0.99× |
| Ravnica Remastered Draft Booster Boxother | 1 in 100 | $220 | 24.5% | 4 | 10.2 | 0.39× |
| Command Towerother | 1 in 40 | $28.00 | 7.8% | 33 | 25.4 | 1.30× |
| Arcane Signetother | 1 in 40 | $18.00 | 5.0% | 22 | 25.4 | 0.87× |
| Counterspell (V.1)other | 1 in 40 | $16.30 | 4.5% | 20 | 25.4 | 0.79× |
| Oboro, Palace in the Cloudsother | 1 in 33 | $10.00 | 3.3% | 33 | 30.5 | 1.08× |
| Shardless Agentother | 1 in 20 | $3.70 | 2.1% | 56 | 50.8 | 1.10× |
| Dark Ritualother | 1 in 20 | $3.50 | 1.9% | 48 | 50.8 | 0.95× |
| Lightning Bolt (V.1)other | 1 in 20 | $2.48 | 1.4% | 50 | 50.8 | 0.99× |
| Evolving Wilds (V.1)other | 1 in 20 | $2.25 | 1.3% | 42 | 50.8 | 0.83× |
| Knight of Autumnother | 1 in 13 | $1.25 | 1.0% | 71 | 76.1 | 0.93× |
| Rampant Growth (V.2)other | 1 in 13 | $1.04 | 0.9% | 81 | 76.1 | 1.06× |
| Swords to Plowsharesother | 1 in 13 | $0.49 | 0.4% | 76 | 76.1 | 1.00× |
| Arcane Signet (V.1)other | 1 in 13 | $0.44 | 0.4% | 71 | 76.1 | 0.93× |
| Art Series: Command Tower (V.2)other | 1 in 13 | $0.42 | 0.4% | 81 | 76.1 | 1.06× |
| Icy Manalith Tokenother | 10.0% | $0.19 | 0.2% | 117 | 101.5 | 1.15× |
| Boros Guildgateother | 10.0% | $0.18 | 0.2% | 103 | 101.5 | 1.01× |
| Opal Palaceother | 10.0% | $0.15 | 0.2% | 97 | 101.5 | 0.96× |
Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
cases-gg:api/cases/details, 12 Nov, 03:04 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.43%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $10.04 | 89.43% | 18 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedother 100.0%best hit —