NICKEL FEELING WEIRD

A box on Cases.gg, first seen 9 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.

Price
$50.29
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
124.69%
24 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
24 openings · below min
30 days
24 openings · below min
since tracking started
24 openings · below min
-0.5%129.3%259.0%

Small sample. 24 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d24124.69%±133.9—sample
30d24124.69%±133.9—sample
All24124.69%±133.9—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items and oddsnone published

No catalogCases.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Seiko Presageother$50.29$63412.61x

Latest dropsnewest first

Tomatoesother$50.29$0.400.01x
Tomatoesother$50.29$0.400.01x
Tomatoesother$50.29$0.400.01x
Tomatoesother$50.29$0.400.01x
Tomatoesother$50.29$0.400.01x
TomatoesotherGlubapex$50.29$0.400.01x
Tomatoesother$50.29$0.400.01x
Tomatoesother$50.29$0.400.01x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily
No data in this window

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $634 (12.61x)