one in a lifetime

A box on Cases.gg, first seen 7 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.

Price
$0.09
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
22.42%
56 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
4 openings · below min
7 days
56 openings · below min
30 days
56 openings · below min
since tracking started
56 openings · below min
-0.5%83.8%168.0%

Small sample. 56 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h463.89%±103.4—sample
7d5622.42%±12.6—sample
30d5622.42%±12.6—sample
All5622.42%±12.6—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items and oddsnone published

No catalogCases.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

151: Dividerotherlo***65$0.09$0.010.11x
151: Dividerotherlo***65$0.09$0.010.11x
151: Dividerotherlo***65$0.09$0.010.11x
151: Dividerother$0.09$0.010.11x
151: Dividerother$0.09$0.010.11x
151: Dividerother$0.09$0.010.11x
151: Dividerother$0.09$0.010.11x
Bulbasaur (MCD19F 1)other$0.09$0.202.22x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit —