papa-needs-a-new-fridge

A box on Cases.gg, first seen 8 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.

Price
$5.93
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
219.54%
409 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
409 openings · below min
30 days
409 openings · below min
since tracking started
409 openings · below min
23.5%219.5%415.5%

Small sample. 409 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d409219.54%±195.5—sample
30d409219.54%±195.5—sample
All409219.54%±195.5—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items and oddsnone published

No catalogCases.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Latest dropsnewest first

Ice Cube Moldsother$5.93$0.020.00x
Ice Cube Traysother$5.93$8.911.50x
Ice Cube Moldsother$5.93$0.020.00x
Ice Cube Moldsother$5.93$0.020.00x
Ice Cube Moldsother$5.93$0.020.00x
Ice Cube Moldsother$5.93$0.020.00x
Ice Cube Moldsother$5.93$0.020.00x
Ice Cube Moldsother$5.93$0.020.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $1,920 (323.8x)