Paparazzi

A box on Cases.gg (Tech), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.

Price

$123.93

Advertised RTP

89.49%

EV $110.91 from 18 items

Observed RTP, 30d

94.36%

78 openings, odds method

Variance

3.4×

of price², per opening

Tail share

1 in 13

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

70.0%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

7 days

72 openings · below min

30 days

78 openings · below min

since tracking started

78 openings · below min

52.0%95.5%139.0%

Small sample. 78 openings and 6.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	0	—	—	—
7d	72	95.57%±42.8	—	odds
30d	78	94.36%±41.2	—	odds
All	78	94.36%±41.2	—	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items and odds18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 78 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
Sony Alpha 7 IV Full-frame Mirrorless Interchangeable Lens Camera, Body Onlyother	1 in 500	$2,748	5.0%	1	0.2	—
Canon DSLR Camera [EOS 90D]other	1 in 333	$1,319	3.6%	0	0.2	—
Sony Alpha ZV-E10 - APS-C Interchangeable Lens Mirrorless Vlog Camera - Blackother	1 in 100	$1,078	9.7%	0	0.8	—
Nikon D3500 W/ AF-P DX NIKKOR 18-55mm f/3.5-5.6G VR Blackother	1 in 200	$935	4.2%	0	0.4	—
Panasonic Full HD Video Camera Camcorderother	1 in 100	$738	6.7%	2	0.8	—
GoPro HERO10 Black Bundleother	1 in 50	$580	10.5%	1	1.6	0.64×
Canon EOS Rebel T7 DSLR Camera with 18-55mm Lensother	1 in 100	$576	5.2%	0	0.8	—
GoPro HERO12 Black - Waterproof Action Cameraother	1 in 100	$480	4.3%	1	0.8	—
GoPro HERO11 Black Miniother	1 in 100	$310	2.8%	0	0.8	—
Canon EF 75-300mm Zoom Lens for Canon SLR Camerasother	1 in 20	$280	12.6%	4	3.9	1.03×
Ring Battery Doorbell Proother	1 in 50	$250	4.5%	1	1.6	0.64×
Polaroid Now 2nd Generation I-Type Instant Cameraother	1 in 20	$195	8.8%	1	3.9	0.26×
Ring Spotlight Cam Plusother	1 in 20	$185	8.3%	4	3.9	1.03×
Polaroid Go Generation 2 - Mini Instant Cameraother	1 in 20	$145	6.5%	6	3.9	1.54×
Polaroid IS048 Digital Cameraother	1 in 20	$59.99	2.7%	4	3.9	1.03×
Protective Case for Canon EOS Rebel T7 DSLR Camera and Lensother	1 in 20	$25.29	1.1%	4	3.9	1.03×
ZEISS Lens Care Pack - 2-8 Ounce Bottles of Lens Sprayother	10.0%	$13.49	1.2%	9	7.8	1.15×
Microfiber Cleaning Clothsother	50.0%	$5.00	2.3%	40	39.0	1.03×

Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from cases-gg:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 14:54 UTC.